Loughran David S, Zissimopoulos Julie M
David S. Loughran is a senior economist and Julie M. Zissimopoulos is an economist at the RAND Corporation in Santa Monica, Calif. Both are also faculty members of the Frederick S. Pardee RAND Graduate School. The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the National Institute of Child Health and Development under grant 5 R03 HD 40853. The data used in this article can be obtained beginning October 2009 through September 2012 from David Loughran, RAND Corporation; Santa Monica, CA 90407;
J Hum Resour. 2009 Spring;44(2):326-349. doi: 10.1353/jhr.2009.0032.
We use data from the earlier and later cohorts of the NLSY to estimate the effect of marriage and childbearing on wages. Our estimates imply that marriage lowers female wages 2-4 percent in the year of marriage. Marriage also lowers the wage growth of men and women by about two and four percentage points, respectively. A first birth lowers female wages 2-3 percent, but has no effect on wage growth. Male wages are unaffected by childbearing. These findings suggest that early marriage and childbearing can lead to substantial decreases in lifetime earnings.
我们使用全国青年纵向调查（NLSY）早期和晚期队列的数据来估计婚姻和生育对工资的影响。我们的估计表明，在结婚当年，婚姻会使女性工资降低2%至4%。婚姻还会使男性和女性的工资增长分别降低约两个和四个百分点。头胎生育会使女性工资降低2%至3%，但对工资增长没有影响。生育对男性工资没有影响。这些发现表明，早婚和早育会导致终身收入大幅下降。
