Doctoral College Geographic Information Science, University of Salzburg, Schillerstrasse 30, 5020 Salzburg, Austria.
Sensors (Basel). 2012;12(7):9800-22. doi: 10.3390/s120709800. Epub 2012 Jul 18.
Ubiquitous geo-sensing enables context-aware analyses of physical and social phenomena, i.e., analyzing one phenomenon in the context of another. Although such context-aware analysis can potentially enable a more holistic understanding of spatio-temporal processes, it is rarely documented in the scientific literature yet. In this paper we analyzed the collective human behavior in the context of the weather. We therefore explored the complex relationships between these two spatio-temporal phenomena to provide novel insights into the dynamics of urban systems. Aggregated mobile phone data, which served as a proxy for collective human behavior, was linked with the weather data from climate stations in the case study area, the city of Udine, Northern Italy. To identify and characterize potential patterns within the weather-human relationships, we developed a hybrid approach which integrates several spatio-temporal statistical analysis methods. Thereby we show that explanatory factor analysis, when applied to a number of meteorological variables, can be used to differentiate between normal and adverse weather conditions. Further, we measured the strength of the relationship between the 'global' adverse weather conditions and the spatially explicit effective variations in user-generated mobile network traffic for three distinct periods using the Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC). The analyses result in three spatially referenced maps of MICs which reveal interesting insights into collective human dynamics in the context of weather, but also initiate several new scientific challenges.
无处不在的地理感应使我们能够对物理和社会现象进行情境感知分析,即分析一种现象在另一种现象的背景下的情况。虽然这种情境感知分析有可能使我们更全面地理解时空过程,但它在科学文献中很少被记录。在本文中,我们分析了人类集体行为在天气背景下的情况。因此,我们探索了这两种时空现象之间的复杂关系,为城市系统的动态提供了新的见解。聚合的移动电话数据被用作集体人类行为的代理,与意大利北部乌迪内市案例研究区域的气候站的天气数据相关联。为了识别和描述天气-人类关系中的潜在模式,我们开发了一种混合方法,该方法集成了几种时空统计分析方法。由此,我们表明,当应用于一些气象变量时,解释性因素分析可用于区分正常和不利的天气条件。此外,我们使用最大信息系数(MIC)测量了三个不同时间段内“全局”不利天气条件与用户生成的移动网络流量的空间显式有效变化之间关系的强度。分析结果得到了三个空间参考的 MIC 地图,这些地图揭示了有关天气背景下集体人类动态的有趣见解,但也引发了一些新的科学挑战。