University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712, USA.
Demography. 2013 Apr;50(2):751-75. doi: 10.1007/s13524-012-0153-5.
Despite the importance given to employment opportunities as a primary motive for migration, previous studies have paid insufficient attention to the kinds of jobs that are more likely to retain workers in their countries of origin. We use information from a panel survey of Mexican adults to examine how job characteristics affect the risk of international migration. The sampling strategy and overall size of the survey allow us to analyze the effect of employment characteristics on migration from urban areas, which have much greater labor market diversity, and to separate our analysis by gender. We also distinguish migrants according to whether they migrate for work or for other reasons. We find informality to be a significant predictor of international migration. Even after controlling for individual factors including workers' wages, as well as various household- and community-level predictors, we find that workers employed in the informal sector have significantly higher odds of migrating than their counterparts in the formal sector. The pervasive nature of informality in many developing countries from which a high proportion of international migrants originate may therefore create a constant supply of workers who are predisposed to migrate. Our findings thus have important implications for a proper understanding of the effects of economic development on migration.
尽管就业机会被视为移民的主要动机之一,但先前的研究对更有可能让移民留在原籍国的工作类型关注不足。我们利用墨西哥成年人的面板调查信息,研究了工作特征如何影响国际移民的风险。抽样策略和调查的总体规模使我们能够分析就业特征对来自劳动力市场多样性更大的城市地区的移民的影响,并按性别对我们的分析进行区分。我们还根据移民是为了工作还是其他原因来区分移民。我们发现非正规性是国际移民的一个重要预测因素。即使在控制了包括工人工资在内的个人因素以及各种家庭和社区层面的预测因素后,我们发现,在非正规部门工作的工人移民的几率明显高于正规部门的工人。因此,在许多发展中国家,非正规部门普遍存在,这些国家输出了大量的国际移民,这可能造成源源不断的、倾向于移民的工人。因此,我们的研究结果对于正确理解经济发展对移民的影响具有重要意义。