Rush B
Addiction Research Foundation, Community Programs Evaluation Centre, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada.
Br J Addict. 1990 Jan;85(1):49-59. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.1990.tb00623.x.
This paper describes a model for estimating the required capacity of alcohol treatment systems at the local or regional level. Previous attempts at developing comprehensive forecasting models for addiction services are briefly described. The four steps followed in the development of the present model are then outlined. In many respects, the resulting model is specific to Ontario, Canada. However, the general approach, and many of the underlying concepts and assumptions, may have wider application in assessing the need for alcohol treatment services.
本文描述了一种用于估算地方或区域层面酒精治疗系统所需容量的模型。简要介绍了此前开发成瘾服务综合预测模型的尝试。接着概述了本模型开发过程中遵循的四个步骤。在许多方面，所得模型是针对加拿大安大略省的。然而，该一般方法以及许多基本概念和假设，在评估酒精治疗服务需求方面可能有更广泛的应用。
