Department of Cardiac Surgery, Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2013 May;43(5):1014-21. doi: 10.1093/ejcts/ezs459. Epub 2012 Nov 8.
Coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) is performed for symptomatic and prognostic reasons. We aimed to determine the factors that contribute to in-hospital mortality and long-term survival in young patients (aged less than 65) undergoing CABG.
A prospective database was retrospectively analysed and cross-correlated with the United Kingdom's Strategic Tracing Service to evaluate survival in patients under the age of 65, following isolated primary CABG. Univariate-, multivariate logistic with Cox regression- and neural network analyses were performed.
Patients under the age of 65, who had undergone isolated CABG between April 1997 and March 2010 were studied;n = 5967. In-hospital mortality was 1.1% and long-term mortality was 13.5%; median follow-up 7.9 years. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that atrial fibrillation, 'urgent' operation status, postoperative creatinine kinase (CKMB), moderate or poor left ventricular (LV) function, and female sex were significant factors predicting in-hospital mortality. Cox regression demonstrated that age, diabetes (oral and insulin controlled), moderate and poor LV function, cerebrovascular disease, dialysis, left internal mammary artery (LIMA) usage, postoperative CKMB, atrial fibrillation, 'urgent' operation status, and peripheral vascular disease were significant factors determining long-term survival. Radial artery use, off-pump surgery, composite arterial grating and graft number had no effect on in-hospital mortality or long-term survival. Neural network analysis confirmed the factors identified by logistic and Cox multivariate analysis.
The risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients under the age of 65 include postoperative CKMB, urgent operation status, LV function, female sex and atrial fibrillation. Significant factors determining long-term survival in the under-65 age group include age, atrial fibrillation, diabetes (diet and insulin controlled), LV function, cerebrovascular disease, dialysis, LIMA usage, 'urgent' operation status, CKMB and peripheral vascular disease.
冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)是出于症状和预后的原因而进行的。我们旨在确定导致接受 CABG 的年轻患者(<65 岁)住院死亡率和长期生存率的因素。
回顾性地分析了一个前瞻性数据库,并与英国战略追踪服务进行了交叉关联,以评估在 1997 年 4 月至 2010 年 3 月期间接受单纯 CABG 的<65 岁患者的生存情况。进行了单变量、多变量逻辑与 Cox 回归和神经网络分析。
研究了在 1997 年 4 月至 2010 年 3 月期间接受单纯 CABG 的<65 岁患者;n=5967。住院死亡率为 1.1%,长期死亡率为 13.5%;中位随访时间为 7.9 年。多变量分析表明,心房颤动、“紧急”手术状态、术后肌酸激酶同工酶(CKMB)、中度或差的左心室(LV)功能以及女性是预测住院死亡率的重要因素。Cox 回归表明,年龄、糖尿病(口服和胰岛素控制)、中度和差的 LV 功能、脑血管疾病、透析、左内乳动脉(LIMA)使用、术后 CKMB、心房颤动、“紧急”手术状态和外周血管疾病是决定长期生存的重要因素。桡动脉使用、非体外循环手术、复合动脉移植和移植数量对住院死亡率或长期生存率没有影响。神经网络分析证实了逻辑和 Cox 多变量分析确定的因素。
<65 岁患者住院死亡率的危险因素包括术后 CKMB、紧急手术状态、LV 功能、女性和心房颤动。<65 岁年龄组中决定长期生存的重要因素包括年龄、心房颤动、糖尿病(饮食和胰岛素控制)、LV 功能、脑血管疾病、透析、LIMA 使用、“紧急”手术状态、CKMB 和外周血管疾病。