Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
Value Health. 2012 Dec;15(8):1014-21. doi: 10.1016/j.jval.2012.07.012. Epub 2012 Nov 7.
OBJECTIVES: Uncertainty exists regarding appropriate and affordable use of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer (T3, proficient DNA mismatch repair). This study aimed to estimate the effectiveness and costs from a US societal perspective of a multigene recurrence score (RS) assay for patients recently diagnosed with stage II colon cancer (T3, proficient DNA mismatch repair) eligible for adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: RS was compared with guideline-recommended clinicopathological factors (tumor stage, lymph nodes examined, tumor grade, and lymphovascular invasion) by using a state-transition (Markov) lifetime model. Data were obtained from published literature, a randomized controlled trial (QUick And Simple And Reliable) of adjuvant chemotherapy, and rates of chemotherapy use from the National Cooperative Cancer Network Colon/Rectum Cancer Outcomes study. Life-years, quality-adjusted life expectancy, and lifetime costs were examined. RESULTS: The RS is projected to reduce adjuvant chemotherapy use by 17% compared with current treatment patterns and to increase quality-adjusted life expectancy by an average of 0.035 years. Direct medical costs are expected to decrease by an average of $2971 per patient. The assay was cost saving for all subgroups of patients stratified by clinicopathologic factors. The most influential variables affecting treatment decisions were projected years of life remaining, recurrence score, and patients' disutilities associated with adjuvant chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Use of the multigene RS to assess recurrence risk after surgery in stage II colon cancer (T3, proficient DNA mismatch repair) may reduce the use of adjuvant chemotherapy without decreasing quality-adjusted life expectancy and be cost saving from a societal perspective. These findings need to be validated in additional cohorts, including studies of clinical practice as assay use diffuses into nonacademic settings.
目的:在 T3、 proficient DNA 错配修复的 II 期结肠癌中,辅助化疗的应用是否适当且负担得起仍存在不确定性。本研究旨在从美国社会角度评估多基因复发评分(RS)检测在适合接受辅助化疗的近期诊断为 T3、 proficient DNA 错配修复的 II 期结肠癌患者中的有效性和成本。
方法:使用状态转移(Markov)寿命模型,将 RS 与指南推荐的临床病理因素(肿瘤分期、检查的淋巴结、肿瘤分级和血管淋巴管侵犯)进行比较。数据来自已发表的文献、辅助化疗的随机对照试验(QUick And Simple And Reliable)和国家综合癌症网络结肠/直肠癌症结局研究中的化疗使用率。评估了生命年、质量调整生命预期和终生成本。
结果:与当前的治疗模式相比,RS 预计将使辅助化疗的使用率降低 17%,并平均增加 0.035 年的质量调整生命预期。预计每位患者的直接医疗成本将平均降低 2971 美元。该检测对于按临床病理因素分层的所有患者亚组都是节省成本的。影响治疗决策的最主要变量是剩余的预期寿命年、复发评分和患者对辅助化疗的不良感受。
结论:在 T3、 proficient DNA 错配修复的 II 期结肠癌中,使用多基因 RS 评估手术后的复发风险可能会降低辅助化疗的使用,而不会降低质量调整生命预期,并从社会角度来看是节省成本的。这些发现需要在其他队列中进行验证,包括随着检测在非学术环境中的应用而扩散的临床实践研究。
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