Research Department, Biotechnology Research Center, New Damietta City, Egypt.
Ann Hepatol. 2013 Jan-Feb;12(1):44-53.
Several noninvasive predictive models were developed to substitute liver biopsy for fibrosis assessment.
To evaluate the diagnostic value of fibronectin which reflect extracellular matrix metabolism and standard liver functions tests which reflect alterations in hepatic functions.
Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients (n = 145) were evaluated using ROC curves and stepwise multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA) and was validated in 180 additional patients. Liver biochemical profile including transaminases, bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, complete blood count were estimated. Fibronectin concentration was determined using monoclonal antibody and ELISA.
A novel index named fibronectin discriminant score (FDS) based on fibronectin, APRI and albumin was developed. FDS produced areas under ROC curves (AUC) of 0.91 for significant fibrosis and 0.81 for advanced fibrosis. The FDS correctly classified 79% of the significant liver fibrosis patients (F2-F4) with 87% sensitivity and 75% specificity. The relative risk [odds ratio (OR)] of having significant liver fibrosis using the cut-off values determined by ROC curve analyses were 6.1 for fibronectin, 4.9 for APRI, and 4.2 for albumin. FDS predicted liver fibrosis with an OR of 16.8 for significant fibrosis and 8.6 for advanced fibrosis. The FDS had similar AUC and OR in the validation group to the estimation group without statistically significant difference.
FDS predicted liver fibrosis with high degree of accuracy, potentially decreasing the number of liver biopsy required.
已经开发出几种非侵入性预测模型来替代肝活检以评估纤维化。
评估反映细胞外基质代谢的纤维连接蛋白和反映肝功能改变的标准肝功能检查在预测中的诊断价值。
使用 ROC 曲线和逐步多元判别分析(MDA)对 145 例慢性丙型肝炎(CHC)患者进行评估,并在另外 180 例患者中进行验证。评估包括转氨酶、胆红素、碱性磷酸酶、白蛋白、全血细胞计数在内的肝脏生化特征。使用单克隆抗体和 ELISA 测定纤维连接蛋白浓度。
建立了一种基于纤维连接蛋白、APRI 和白蛋白的新型指数,称为纤维连接蛋白判别评分(FDS)。FDS 对显著纤维化和晚期纤维化的 ROC 曲线下面积(AUC)分别为 0.91 和 0.81。FDS 正确分类了 79%的显著肝纤维化患者(F2-F4),其敏感性为 87%,特异性为 75%。使用 ROC 曲线分析确定的截断值,纤维连接蛋白、APRI 和白蛋白发生显著肝纤维化的相对风险[比值比(OR)]分别为 6.1、4.9 和 4.2。FDS 对显著纤维化的预测 OR 为 16.8,对晚期纤维化的预测 OR 为 8.6。FDS 在验证组中的 AUC 和 OR 与估计组相似,无统计学差异。
FDS 对肝纤维化的预测具有高度准确性,可能减少肝活检的数量。