Institute for Research on Earth Evolution, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, 236-0001, Japan.
Nature. 2013 Jan 24;493(7433):518-21. doi: 10.1038/nature11703. Epub 2013 Jan 9.
Faults in Earth's crust accommodate slow relative motion between tectonic plates through either similarly slow slip or fast, seismic-wave-producing rupture events perceived as earthquakes. These types of behaviour are often assumed to be separated in space and to occur on two different types of fault segment: one with stable, rate-strengthening friction and the other with rate-weakening friction that leads to stick-slip. The 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake with moment magnitude M(w) = 9.0 challenged such assumptions by accumulating its largest seismic slip in the area that had been assumed to be creeping. Here we propose a model in which stable, rate-strengthening behaviour at low slip rates is combined with coseismic weakening due to rapid shear heating of pore fluids, allowing unstable slip to occur in segments that can creep between events. The model parameters are based on laboratory measurements on samples from the fault of the M(w) 7.6 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake. The long-term slip behaviour of the model, which we examine using a unique numerical approach that includes all wave effects, reproduces and explains a number of both long-term and coseismic observations-some of them seemingly contradictory-about the faults at which the Tohoku-Oki and Chi-Chi earthquakes occurred, including there being more high-frequency radiation from areas of lower slip, the largest seismic slip in the Tohoku-Oki earthquake having occurred in a potentially creeping segment, the overall pattern of previous events in the area and the complexity of the Tohoku-Oki rupture. The implication that earthquake rupture may break through large portions of creeping segments, which are at present considered to be barriers, requires a re-evaluation of seismic hazard in many areas.
地壳中的断层通过同样缓慢的滑动或快速的、产生地震波的破裂事件(即地震)来适应构造板块之间的缓慢相对运动。这些行为类型通常被认为是在空间上分离的,并且发生在两种不同类型的断层段上:一种是具有稳定的、摩擦强度随速度增大的断层段,另一种是具有摩擦强度随速度减弱的断层段,后者会导致粘滑。2011 年矩震级 M(w) = 9.0 的东北-关东地震对这些假设提出了挑战,因为它在被认为是蠕动的区域积累了最大的地震滑动。在这里,我们提出了一个模型,该模型将低滑动速率下的稳定、摩擦强度随速度增大的行为与由于孔隙流体的快速剪切加热导致的震时弱化相结合,允许不稳定的滑动发生在可以在事件之间蠕动的段上。该模型的参数基于来自矩震级 M(w) = 7.6 的 1999 年集集地震断层的样本的实验室测量。我们使用一种独特的数值方法来检查模型的长期滑动行为,该方法包括所有的波效应,该方法再现并解释了一些关于东北-关东和集集地震断层的长期和震时观测,其中一些似乎是相互矛盾的,包括来自低滑动区域的更高频辐射、东北-关东地震中最大的地震滑动发生在一个潜在的蠕动段、该地区以前事件的整体模式以及东北-关东破裂的复杂性。地震破裂可能突破目前被认为是障碍的蠕动段的大部分的这一含义,需要重新评估许多地区的地震危险。