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食管腺癌发病率和死亡率的趋势。

Trends in esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence and mortality.

机构信息

Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

出版信息

Cancer. 2013 Mar 15;119(6):1149-58. doi: 10.1002/cncr.27834. Epub 2012 Dec 11.


DOI:10.1002/cncr.27834
PMID:23303625
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3744155/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Over the past several decades, the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) has rapidly increased. The purpose of this analysis was to examine temporal trends in EAC incidence and mortality within the US population and, in addition, to explore these trends within subgroups of the population. METHODS: The National Cancer Institute (NCI) Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER 9) data were used to examine incidence and incidence-based (IB) mortality in EAC from 1975 to 2009. Secular trends in incidence and IB mortality by cancer stage, sex, and race were further characterized using the NCI's Joinpoint Regression program. RESULTS: Based on SEER 9 data, EAC incidence and IB mortality continues to increase in the United States. However, since the mid-1990s, the overall rate of increase in both EAC incidence and IB mortality appears to be slowing. In addition, in early-stage cancers, there is a noticeable leveling off of IB mortality rates and divergence from incidence starting in the late 1990s. Over the study period, the average annual percentage increase in incidence was 6.1% in men and 5.9% in women. CONCLUSIONS: EAC incidence and IB mortality rates continue to rise in the United States, although at a slower rate in more recent years. In early-stage cancers, IB mortality and incidence rates have diverged primarily because IB mortality rates have plateaued beginning in the late 1990s. Although EAC continues to be less common in women, the rate of increase in EAC incidence is similar in both sexes.

摘要

背景:在过去几十年中,食管腺癌(EAC)的发病率迅速上升。本分析的目的是检查美国人群中 EAC 的发病率和死亡率的时间趋势,并进一步探讨人群亚组中的这些趋势。

方法:利用美国国家癌症研究所(NCI)的监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER9)数据,检查 1975 年至 2009 年 EAC 的发病率和基于发病率的(IB)死亡率。利用 NCI 的 Joinpoint 回归程序进一步描述癌症分期、性别和种族的发病率和 IB 死亡率的变化趋势。

结果:根据 SEER9 数据,EAC 的发病率和 IB 死亡率在美国仍在持续上升。然而,自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来,EAC 的发病率和 IB 死亡率的总体增长率似乎正在放缓。此外,在早期癌症中,自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,IB 死亡率的明显趋稳和与发病率的背离开始显现。在研究期间,男性的发病率年均增长率为 6.1%,女性为 5.9%。

结论:尽管近年来的增长率有所放缓,但美国的 EAC 发病率和 IB 死亡率仍在继续上升。在早期癌症中,IB 死亡率和发病率的差异主要是因为自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,IB 死亡率趋于平稳。尽管 EAC 在女性中仍然较少见,但 EAC 发病率的增长率在两性中相似。

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