Harris Birthright Research Centre of Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital, London, UK.
Fetal Diagn Ther. 2013;33(3):173-81. doi: 10.1159/000345950. Epub 2013 Jan 17.
To investigate the potential value of measuring mean arterial pressure (MAP), systolic (sBP) and diastolic (dBP) blood pressure at 30-33 weeks' gestation in the prediction of preeclampsia (PE) developing at or after 34 weeks.
Screening study in singleton pregnancies at 30-33 weeks' gestation including 4,294 that were unaffected by PE, gestational hypertension (GH) or delivery of small-for-gestational-age neonates (normal group), 145 that subsequently developed PE [37 cases requiring delivery at 34-37 weeks (intermediate PE) and 108 delivering at or after 38 weeks (late PE)] and 161 that developed GH. The a priori risks for intermediate and late PE from maternal demographic characteristics and medical history were determined. The a posteriori risks were calculated by combining the a priori risks with the likelihood ratios for MAP, sBP and dBP, which were calculated from fitted bivariate gaussian distributions.
The mean multiple of median MAP, sBP and dBP were significantly higher in the intermediate and late PE groups than in the normal group. In screening by a combination of maternal characteristics and MAP, the estimated detection rates of intermediate and late PE, at a false-positive rate of 10%, were 70.3 and 62.0%, respectively. The respective detection rates for sBP were 62.2 and 59.3% and for dBP were 62.2 and 57.4%.
Combined testing by maternal characteristics and blood pressure at 30-33 weeks could effectively identify women at high risk for subsequent development of PE.
探讨测量 30-33 孕周平均动脉压(MAP)、收缩压(sBP)和舒张压(dBP)在预测 34 周及以后发生子痫前期(PE)中的潜在价值。
在 30-33 孕周的单胎妊娠中进行筛查研究,包括 4294 例未受 PE、妊娠期高血压(GH)或小于胎龄儿分娩影响的孕妇(正常组)、145 例随后发生 PE 的孕妇[37 例需要在 34-37 周分娩(中期 PE)和 108 例在 38 周及以后分娩(晚期 PE)]和 161 例发生 GH 的孕妇。确定母体人口统计学特征和病史对中期和晚期 PE 的先验风险。通过将先验风险与 MAP、sBP 和 dBP 的似然比相结合来计算后验风险,这些似然比是从拟合的双变量高斯分布中计算得出的。
中期和晚期 PE 组的平均 MAP、sBP 和 dBP 中位数倍数明显高于正常组。在结合母体特征和 MAP 进行筛查时,假阳性率为 10%时,中期和晚期 PE 的估计检出率分别为 70.3%和 62.0%。sBP 的相应检出率分别为 62.2%和 59.3%,dBP 的相应检出率分别为 62.2%和 57.4%。
在 30-33 孕周时通过母体特征和血压联合检测可以有效识别随后发生 PE 的高危妇女。