Fujimori Elizabeth, Baldino Camila Florido, Sato Ana Paula Sayuri, Borges Ana Luiza Vilela, Gomes Murilo Novaes
Escola de Enfermagem, Universidade de São Paulo, Brasil.
Cad Saude Publica. 2013 Jan;29(1):145-54. doi: 10.1590/s0102-311x2013000100017.
This cross-sectional study analyzed the prevalence and spatial distribution of neural tube defects before and after folic acid flour fortification. The study used the Information System on Live Births (SINASC) and presented prevalence rates according to maternal characteristics with odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Polynomial regression was used in time trend analysis and empirical Bayesian smoothed maps for spatial analysis. Total prevalence of neural tube defects decreased by 35%, from 0.57/1,000 to 0.37/1,000 live births after fortification (OR = 0.65; 95%CI: 0.59-0.72). There was a reduction among newborns of mothers with the following characteristics: all age groups (except < 15 years), more than three years of schooling, and seven or more prenatal visits. There was a reduction over time and in most of São Paulo State, except in a few municipalities (counties) located in the western region of the State. Other factors may have contributed to the observed decline, but the results corroborate flour fortification as an important measure to prevent neural tube defects. Further research is needed to elucidate the lack of a decline in neural tube defects in the western part of São Paulo State.
这项横断面研究分析了叶酸面粉强化前后神经管缺陷的患病率及空间分布情况。该研究使用了活产信息系统(SINASC),并根据孕产妇特征呈现患病率,同时给出比值比(OR)和95%置信区间(95%CI)。时间趋势分析采用多项式回归,空间分析采用经验贝叶斯平滑地图。强化后神经管缺陷的总患病率从每1000例活产0.57例降至0.37例,下降了35%(OR = 0.65;95%CI:0.59 - 0.72)。具有以下特征的母亲所生新生儿的患病率有所下降:所有年龄组(15岁以下除外)、受教育年限超过三年以及产前检查七次及以上。随着时间推移,圣保罗州大部分地区的患病率都有所下降,但该州西部地区的少数几个市(县)除外。其他因素可能也导致了所观察到的下降情况,但研究结果证实面粉强化是预防神经管缺陷的一项重要措施。需要进一步研究以阐明圣保罗州西部地区神经管缺陷患病率未下降的原因。