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不同策略控制 3 周龄批次系统农场断奶后多系统消耗综合征和猪圆环病毒 2 型亚临床感染的经济效率分析。

Economic efficiency analysis of different strategies to control post-weaning multi-systemic wasting syndrome and porcine circovirus type 2 subclinical infection in 3-weekly batch system farms.

机构信息

Royal Veterinary College, London AL9 7TA, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2013 Jun 1;110(2):103-18. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.12.006. Epub 2013 Feb 1.

DOI:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.12.006
PMID:23375866
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3652493/
Abstract

The study assessed the economic efficiency of different strategies for the control of post-weaning multi-systemic wasting syndrome (PMWS) and porcine circovirus type 2 subclinical infection (PCV2SI), which have a major economic impact on the pig farming industry worldwide. The control strategies investigated consisted on the combination of up to 5 different control measures. The control measures considered were: (1) PCV2 vaccination of piglets (vac); (2) ensuring age adjusted diet for growers (diets); (3) reduction of stocking density (stock); (4) improvement of biosecurity measures (bios); and (5) total depopulation and repopulation of the farm for the elimination of other major pathogens (DPRP). A model was developed to simulate 5 years production of a pig farm with a 3-weekly batch system and with 100 sows. A PMWS/PCV2SI disease and economic model, based on PMWS severity scores, was linked to the production model in order to assess disease losses. This PMWS severity scores depends on the combination post-weaning mortality, PMWS morbidity in younger pigs and proportion of PCV2 infected pigs observed on farms. The economic analysis investigated eleven different farm scenarios, depending on the number of risk factors present before the intervention. For each strategy, an investment appraisal assessed the extra costs and benefits of reducing a given PMWS severity score to the average score of a slightly affected farm. The net present value obtained for each strategy was then multiplied by the corresponding probability of success to obtain an expected value. A stochastic simulation was performed to account for uncertainty and variability. For moderately affected farms PCV2 vaccination alone was the most cost-efficient strategy, but for highly affected farms it was either PCV2 vaccination alone or in combination with biosecurity measures, with the marginal profitability between 'vac' and 'vac+bios' being small. Other strategies such as 'diets', 'vac+diets' and 'bios+diets' were frequently identified as the second or third best strategy. The mean expected values of the best strategy for a moderately and a highly affected farm were £14,739 and £57,648 after 5 years, respectively. This is the first study to compare economic efficiency of control strategies for PMWS and PCV2SI. The results demonstrate the economic value of PCV2 vaccination, and highlight that on highly affected farms biosecurity measures are required to achieve optimal profitability. The model developed has potential as a farm-level decision support tool for the control of this economically important syndrome.

摘要

这项研究评估了针对断奶后多系统消耗综合征 (PMWS) 和猪圆环病毒 2 型亚临床感染 (PCV2SI) 的不同控制策略的经济效率,这些策略对全球养猪业具有重大的经济影响。所研究的控制策略包括多达 5 种不同的控制措施。考虑的控制措施有:(1) 仔猪接种 PCV2(疫苗);(2) 为生长猪提供年龄调整的饮食(饮食);(3) 降低饲养密度(密度);(4) 改善生物安全措施(生物);(5) 农场全部清群和重新引种以消除其他主要病原体(DPRP)。为了模拟每周三次批量系统和 100 头母猪的猪场 5 年的生产情况,开发了一个模型。根据 PMWS 严重程度评分,建立了一个 PMWS/PCV2SI 疾病和经济模型,与生产模型相链接以评估疾病损失。该 PMWS 严重程度评分取决于断奶后死亡率、年轻猪 PMWS 发病率以及农场中观察到的 PCV2 感染猪的比例的组合。经济分析根据干预前存在的风险因素数量考察了十一种不同的农场情况。对于每种策略,投资评估都会评估将特定 PMWS 严重程度评分降低到轻度影响农场的平均评分所带来的额外成本和收益。然后,将每种策略的净现值乘以相应的成功概率,以获得期望值。进行了随机模拟以考虑不确定性和可变性。对于中度受影响的农场,单独接种 PCV2 是最具成本效益的策略,但对于高度受影响的农场,单独接种 PCV2 或与生物安全措施相结合是最有效的策略,“疫苗”和“疫苗+生物安全”之间的边际收益很小。其他策略,如“饮食”、“疫苗+饮食”和“生物安全+饮食”,通常被认为是第二或第三好的策略。对于中度和高度受影响的农场,在 5 年后最佳策略的平均预期值分别为 14739 英镑和 57648 英镑。这是首次比较 PMWS 和 PCV2SI 控制策略的经济效率。结果表明了 PCV2 疫苗接种的经济价值,并强调在高度受影响的农场,需要采取生物安全措施以实现最佳盈利能力。所开发的模型具有作为针对这种经济上重要的综合征的农场级决策支持工具的潜力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/281f5b790f45/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/44890c4cdcff/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/6fac8d5a9538/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/6db9073db7f7/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/281f5b790f45/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/44890c4cdcff/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/6fac8d5a9538/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/6db9073db7f7/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/172e/3652493/281f5b790f45/gr4.jpg

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