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过去60年亚洲出生性别比的长期趋势和纬度梯度。

Secular trends and latitude gradients in sex ratio at birth in Asia during the past 60 years.

作者信息

Grech Victor

机构信息

Department of Paediatrics, Mater Dei Hospital, Msida, Malta.

出版信息

Pediatr Int. 2013 Apr;55(2):219-22. doi: 10.1111/ped.12063.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Latitude gradients and secular trends in Europe and North America have been found in the male-female ratio at birth (M/F: male births divided by total births), which is anticipated to approximate 0.515.

METHODS

Annual national data for Asian countries for male and female live births were obtained from the World Health Organization and analyzed with contingency tables.

RESULTS

A total of 245,938,211 live births were analyzed. An overall increasing trend in M/F was found (P < 0.0001). A latitude gradient was also noted, with more boys being born in southern, warmer latitudes (P < 0.0001). There was an overall deficit of 1,351,757 male births based on an anticipated M/F of approximately 0.515.

CONCLUSION

M/F is increasing overall in Asia, unlike the decline previously noted in Europe and North America. Moreover, it had been shown that there is a higher incidence of male births in southern Europe than in the north, with the opposite gradient in North America. This paper shows that M/F latitude gradients in Asia are in keeping with those of Europe. The overall M/F in Asia may be rising due to improving socioeconomic conditions, and the interplay of several poorly understood factors is likely.

摘要

背景

在欧洲和北美,出生时的男女比例(M/F:男婴出生数除以总出生数)呈现出纬度梯度和长期趋势,预计该比例约为0.515。

方法

从世界卫生组织获取亚洲国家年度全国男女生育数据,并通过列联表进行分析。

结果

共分析了245,938,211例活产数据。发现M/F总体呈上升趋势(P<0.0001)。还注意到存在纬度梯度,在纬度较低、气候较温暖的南方出生的男孩更多(P<0.0001)。基于约0.515的预期M/F,男婴出生总数总体短缺1,351,757例。

结论

与欧洲和北美之前所观察到的下降情况不同,亚洲的M/F总体呈上升趋势。此外,研究表明南欧的男婴出生率高于北欧,而在北美情况则相反。本文表明亚洲的M/F纬度梯度与欧洲一致。亚洲M/F总体上升可能是由于社会经济条件改善,并且可能存在几个尚不清楚的因素之间的相互作用。

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