Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, 185 Berry St, Ste 5700, San Francisco, CA 94107, USA.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2013 Mar 6;105(5):334-41. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djs645. Epub 2013 Feb 5.
Background Uncertainty exists about the appropriate use of screening mammography among older women because comorbid illnesses may diminish the benefit of screening. We examined the risk of adverse tumor characteristics and false positive rates according to screening interval, age, and comorbidity. Methods From January 1999 to December 2006, data were collected prospectively on 2993 older women with breast cancer and 137 949 older women without breast cancer who underwent mammography at facilities that participated in a data linkage between the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium and Medicare claims. Women were aged 66 to 89 years at study entry to allow for measurement of 1 year of preexisting illnesses. We used logistic regression analyses to calculate the odds of advanced (IIb, III, IV) stage, large (>20 millimeters) tumors, and 10-year cumulative probability of false-positive mammography by screening frequency (1 vs 2 years), age, and comorbidity score. The comorbidity score was derived using the Klabunde approximation of the Charlson score. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Adverse tumor characteristics did not differ statistically significantly by comorbidity, age, or interval. Cumulative probability of a false-positive mammography result was higher among annual screeners than biennial screeners irrespective of comorbidity: 48.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 46.1% to 49.9%) of annual screeners aged 66 to 74 years had a false-positive result compared with 29.0% (95% CI = 28.1% to 29.9%) of biennial screeners. Conclusion Women aged 66 to 89 years who undergo biennial screening mammography have similar risk of advanced-stage disease and lower cumulative risk of a false-positive recommendation than annual screeners, regardless of comorbidity.
背景
由于合并症可能会降低筛查的获益,因此对于老年女性而言,筛查性乳房 X 线摄影的应用存在不确定性。我们根据筛查间隔、年龄和合并症,研究了不良肿瘤特征和假阳性率的风险。
方法
1999 年 1 月至 2006 年 12 月,前瞻性地收集了参加乳腺癌监测联盟和医疗保险索赔数据链接的机构进行乳房 X 线摄影的 2993 例老年乳腺癌女性和 137949 例老年非乳腺癌女性的数据。女性在研究入组时年龄为 66 至 89 岁,以便测量 1 年的既往疾病。我们使用 logistic 回归分析计算了高级(IIb、III、IV 期)阶段、大(>20 毫米)肿瘤的优势比以及根据筛查频率(1 年与 2 年)、年龄和合并症评分计算的 10 年累积假阳性乳房 X 线摄影的概率。使用 Klabunde 近似Charlson 评分计算了合并症评分。所有统计检验均为双侧检验。
结果
肿瘤不良特征与合并症、年龄或间隔无关,无统计学差异。无论合并症如何,与每两年筛查者相比,每年筛查者的假阳性乳房 X 线摄影结果的累积概率更高:66 至 74 岁的每年筛查者中有 48.0%(95%置信区间[CI] = 46.1%至 49.9%)出现假阳性结果,而每两年筛查者中仅有 29.0%(95% CI = 28.1%至 29.9%)。
结论
年龄在 66 至 89 岁之间接受每两年筛查乳房 X 线摄影的女性,与每年筛查者相比,无论合并症情况如何,患有晚期疾病的风险相似,且假阳性推荐的累积风险较低。