Evaluative Epidemiology Unit, Fondazione IRCCS, Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Haematologica. 2013 May;98(5):744-52. doi: 10.3324/haematol.2012.071597. Epub 2013 Feb 12.
Proportion cured is a potentially more informative cancer outcome measurement than 5-year survival. We present population-based estimates of cure for young patients diagnosed with acute lymphoblastic leukemia in Europe from 1982 to 2002. Thirty-five European cancer registries provided data. Survival was estimated by age, period of diagnosis and European region, and used as input for parametric cure models, which assume cured patients have the same mortality as the general population. For acute lymphoblastic leukemia diagnosed in 1-14 year olds in 2000-2002, over 77% were estimated cured. The proportion cured improved significantly over the study period: an impressive 26-58% in infants (up to 1 year), 70-90% in 1-4 year olds, 63-86% in 5-9 year olds, 52-77% in 10-14 year olds, and 44-50% in 15-24 year olds. Regional variations in proportion cured reduced over time for 1-14 year-olds, but persisted in infants and 15-24 year olds. Five-year survival was always slightly higher than proportion cured. Considerable proportions of young patients were estimated cured of acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Nevertheless, a small excess risk of death persisted beyond five years after diagnosis when patients remained at risk for late treatment effects, late relapses and second primaries.
治愈率是一种比 5 年生存率更具信息量的癌症预后衡量标准。我们呈现了基于人群的欧洲青年急性淋巴细胞白血病患者(1982 年至 2002 年)治愈率的估计数据。35 个欧洲癌症登记处提供了数据。根据年龄、诊断时期和欧洲地区对生存率进行了估计,并将其作为参数治愈模型的输入,该模型假设治愈的患者与一般人群具有相同的死亡率。对于 2000 年至 2002 年期间 1 至 14 岁诊断出的急性淋巴细胞白血病,超过 77%的患者被估计为治愈。在研究期间,治愈率显著提高:1 岁以下婴儿的治愈率提高了 26-58%,1-4 岁儿童提高了 70-90%,5-9 岁儿童提高了 63-86%,10-14 岁儿童提高了 52-77%,15-24 岁儿童提高了 44-50%。对于 1-14 岁儿童,治愈比例的区域差异随着时间的推移逐渐减少,但在婴儿和 15-24 岁儿童中仍然存在。5 年生存率始终略高于治愈率。相当比例的年轻患者被估计治愈了急性淋巴细胞白血病。然而,当患者仍面临治疗后效应、晚期复发和第二原发性肿瘤的风险时,在诊断后五年后,仍存在一个小的超额死亡风险。