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探索瑞士心血管事件的周期性:死亡和住院情况在季节、一周中的日期以及一天中的时间的变化。

Exploring the periodicity of cardiovascular events in Switzerland: variation in deaths and hospitalizations across seasons, day of the week and hour of the day.

作者信息

Reavey Michelle, Saner Hugo, Paccaud Fred, Marques-Vidal Pedro

机构信息

Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (IUMSP), Lausanne University Hospital, Switzerland.

出版信息

Int J Cardiol. 2013 Oct 3;168(3):2195-200. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2013.01.224. Epub 2013 Feb 27.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study is to explore the periodical patterns of events and deaths related to cardiovascular disease (CVD), acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke in Swiss adults (≥ 18 years).

METHODS

Mortality data for period 1969-2007 (N=869,863 CVD events) and hospitalization data for period 1997-2008 (N=959,990 CVD events) were used. The annual, weekly and circadian distribution of CVD-related deaths and events were assessed. Multivariate analysis was conducted using multinomial logistic regression adjusting for age, gender and calendar year and considering deaths from respiratory diseases, accidents or other causes as competitive events.

RESULTS

CVD deaths and hospitalizations occurred less frequently in the summer months. Similar patterns were found for AMI and stroke. No significant weekly variation for CVD deaths was found. Stratification by age and gender showed subjects aged <65 years to present a higher probability of dying on Mondays and Saturday, only for men. This finding was confirmed after multivariate adjustment. Finally, a circadian variation in CVD mortality was observed, with a first peak in the morning (8-12 am) and a smaller second peak in the late afternoon (2-6 pm). This pattern persisted after multivariate adjustment and was more pronounced for AMI than for stroke.

CONCLUSION

There is a periodicity of hospitalizations and deaths related to CVD, AMI and stroke in Switzerland. This pattern changes slightly according to the age and sex of the subjects. Although the underlying mechanisms are not fully identified, preventive measures should take into account these aspects to develop better strategies of prevention and management of CVD.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨瑞士成年人(≥18岁)中心血管疾病(CVD)、急性心肌梗死(AMI)和中风相关事件及死亡的周期性模式。

方法

使用了1969 - 2007年期间的死亡率数据(N = 869,863例CVD事件)和1997 - 2008年期间的住院数据(N = 959,990例CVD事件)。评估了CVD相关死亡和事件的年度、每周和昼夜分布情况。采用多项逻辑回归进行多变量分析,对年龄、性别和日历年份进行调整,并将呼吸系统疾病、事故或其他原因导致的死亡视为竞争事件。

结果

CVD死亡和住院在夏季月份发生频率较低。AMI和中风也发现了类似模式。未发现CVD死亡有显著的每周变化。按年龄和性别分层显示,年龄<65岁的男性仅在周一和周六死亡概率较高。多变量调整后这一发现得到证实。最后,观察到CVD死亡率存在昼夜变化,上午(上午8 - 12点)有第一个高峰,下午晚些时候(下午2 - 6点)有一个较小的第二个高峰。多变量调整后这一模式仍然存在,且AMI比中风更明显。

结论

瑞士存在与CVD、AMI和中风相关的住院和死亡的周期性。这种模式根据受试者的年龄和性别略有变化。尽管潜在机制尚未完全明确,但预防措施应考虑这些方面,以制定更好的CVD预防和管理策略。

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