Chmiel Anna, Hołyst Janusz A
Faculty of Physics, Center of Excellence for Complex Systems Research, Warsaw University of Technology, Koszykowa 75, PL-00-662 Warsaw, Poland.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2013 Feb;87(2):022808. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.87.022808. Epub 2013 Feb 15.
We consider a preferential cluster growth in a stochastic model describing the dynamics of a binary Markov chain with an additional long-range memory. The model is driven by data describing emotional patterns observed in online community discussions with binary states corresponding to emotional valences. Numerical simulations and approximate analytical calculations show that the pattern of frequencies depends on a preference exponent related to the memory strength in our model. For low values of this exponent in the majority of simulated discussion threads both emotions are observed with similar frequencies. When the exponent increases an ordered phase emerges in the majority of threads, i.e., only one emotion is represented from a certain moment. Similar changes are observed with increase of a single-step Markov memory value. The transition becomes discontinuous in the thermodynamical limit when discussions are infinitely long and even an infinitely small preference exponent leads to ordered behavior in each discussion thread. Numerical simulations are in a good agreement with the approximated analytical formula. The model resembles a dynamical phase transition observed in other Markov models with a long memory where persistent dynamics follows from a transition to a superdiffusion phase. The ordered patterns predicted by our model have been found in the Blog06 dataset although their number is limited by fluctuations and sentiment classification errors.
我们考虑在一个随机模型中的优先聚类增长,该模型描述了具有额外长程记忆的二元马尔可夫链的动力学。该模型由描述在线社区讨论中观察到的情绪模式的数据驱动,二元状态对应于情绪效价。数值模拟和近似解析计算表明,频率模式取决于与我们模型中的记忆强度相关的偏好指数。对于该指数的低值,在大多数模拟讨论线程中,两种情绪的出现频率相似。当指数增加时,大多数线程中会出现有序相,即从某个时刻起只表现出一种情绪。随着单步马尔可夫记忆值的增加,也观察到类似的变化。当讨论无限长时,在热力学极限下转变变得不连续,即使是无限小的偏好指数也会导致每个讨论线程中的有序行为。数值模拟与近似解析公式吻合良好。该模型类似于在其他具有长记忆的马尔可夫模型中观察到的动态相变,其中持续动力学源于向超扩散相的转变。尽管我们模型预测的有序模式数量受到波动和情感分类误差的限制,但在Blog06数据集中已经发现了这些模式。