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意大利乌迪内市的卒中发病率及 30 天和 6 个月的病死率:一项基于人群的前瞻性研究。

Stroke incidence and 30-day and six-month case fatality rates in Udine, Italy: a population-based prospective study.

机构信息

Department of Experimental and Clinical Medical Sciences, University of Udine Medical School, Udine, Italy; Department of Neurosciences, 'S. Maria della Misericordia' University Hospital, Udine, Italy.

出版信息

Int J Stroke. 2013 Oct;8 Suppl A100:100-5. doi: 10.1111/ijs.12000. Epub 2013 Mar 21.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Stroke incidence in high-income countries is reported to decrease, and new data on stroke incidence and outcome are needed to design stroke services and to ameliorate stroke management.

METHODS

This study is part of a two-year prospective community-based registry of all cerebrovascular events in the district of Udine (153,312 inhabitants), Friuli-Venezia Giulia region, northeast of Italy, between 1 April 2007 and 31 March 2009. Overlapping sources for case finding were used, combining hot and cold pursuit.

RESULTS

We identified 784 stroke cases, 640 (81.6%) incident. The crude overall annual incidence rate per 100,000 residents was 256 (95% confidence interval 241-271) for all strokes and 209 (95% confidence interval 195-223) for first-ever strokes. Incidence rate for first-ever strokes was 181 (95% confidence interval 155-211) after adjustment to the 2007 Italian population and 104 (95% confidence interval 88-122) compared with the European standard population. Incidence rates for first-ever strokes was 215 (196-235) for women, 202 (183-223) for men. Crude annual incidence rates per 100,000 population were 167 (153-178) for ischemic stroke, 31 (26-37) for intracerebral hemorrhage, 8.1 (5.7-11.4) for sub-arachnoid hemorrhage, and 4.6 (2.8-7.1) for undetermined stroke. Overall case fatality rates for first-ever stroke were 20.6% at 28 days and 30.2% at 180 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study shows incidence rates higher than previously reported in our region but not supporting the view of higher incidence rates in Northern than in Southern Italy. Results contribute to time-trends analysis on epidemiology, useful for dimensioning services in Italy and show the persistence of a gap between the outcome of stroke in Italy and that of the best performing European countries, urging to adopt better stroke management plans.

摘要

背景

据报道,高收入国家的中风发病率正在下降,为了设计中风服务和改善中风管理,需要新的中风发病率和结果数据。

方法

本研究是意大利东北部弗留利-威尼斯朱利亚地区乌迪内区(153312 名居民)为期两年的基于社区的所有脑血管事件前瞻性登记的一部分,于 2007 年 4 月 1 日至 2009 年 3 月 31 日期间进行。使用了病例发现的重叠来源,结合了热点和冷点追踪。

结果

我们确定了 784 例中风病例,其中 640 例(81.6%)为新发病例。所有中风的粗年度发病率为每 100000 名居民 256 例(95%置信区间 241-271),首次中风的发病率为 209 例(95%置信区间 195-223)。根据 2007 年意大利人口进行调整后,首次中风的发病率为 181 例(95%置信区间 155-211),与欧洲标准人口相比为 104 例(95%置信区间 88-122)。首次中风的发病率为女性 215 例(196-235),男性 202 例(183-223)。每 100000 人口的粗年发病率为缺血性中风 167 例(153-178),脑出血 31 例(26-37),蛛网膜下腔出血 8.1 例(5.7-11.4),未确定的中风 4.6 例(2.8-7.1)。首次中风的 28 天和 180 天病死率分别为 20.6%和 30.2%。

结论

我们的研究表明,发病率高于我们地区以前的报告,但不支持意大利北部发病率高于南部的观点。结果有助于对流行病学进行时间趋势分析,为意大利的服务规模提供参考,并表明意大利中风结果与表现最好的欧洲国家之间仍存在差距,这敦促我们采用更好的中风管理计划。

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