Zwahlen Marcel, Egger Matthias
Institut für Sozial-und Präventivmedizin, Universität Bern.
Ther Umsch. 2013 Apr;70(4):205-12; discussion 212-3. doi: 10.1024/0040-5930/a000391.
Breast cancer screening using mammography is one of the few screening interventions that have been assessed in several large randomized controlled studies (RCTs). Results from eight RCTs are available and have been summarized in several systematic reviews and meta-analyses, most of which conclude that mammography screening achieve a relative reduction in breast cancer mortality of 20 %. In the Swiss context this translates to one prevented breast cancer death over 10 years among 1000 women who start biannual mammography screening at age 50. However, mammography screening leads to the detection of cancers that would never have been found were it not for the screening (overdiagnosis). Screening thus increases the incidence of breast cancer, by about 20 %, which in turn leads to more therapies (surgery, radiation and chemotherapy). Over ten years after starting mammography at age 50, four additional women out of 1000 will be diagnosed with breast cancer. Without screening, these women would not have had a diagnosis. Over the same ten years (five screening rounds), about one in five women will have at least one mammography result which requires further diagnostic workup. Furthermore, even when mammography screening is implemented, 20 to 30 % breast cancer patients will not be diagnosed by the screening but between screening rounds. The information and knowledge of the population about benefits and harms of mammography screening is inadequate in that the benefits are overestimated and the harms underestimated. The female population needs to be better informed on both these aspects of mammography screening. Women have a right to receive adequate evidence-based information in order to make an informed decision whether to attend mammography screening.
使用乳房X线摄影术进行乳腺癌筛查是少数在多项大型随机对照试验(RCT)中得到评估的筛查干预措施之一。八项随机对照试验的结果已经可得,并在多项系统评价和荟萃分析中进行了总结,其中大多数得出结论,乳房X线摄影术筛查可使乳腺癌死亡率相对降低20%。在瑞士的情况下,这意味着在1000名50岁开始每半年进行一次乳房X线摄影术筛查的女性中,10年内可预防一例乳腺癌死亡。然而,乳房X线摄影术筛查会检测出一些若不进行筛查就永远不会被发现的癌症(过度诊断)。因此,筛查会使乳腺癌发病率增加约20%,进而导致更多的治疗(手术、放疗和化疗)。在50岁开始进行乳房X线摄影术筛查10年后,每1000名女性中会有另外四名被诊断出患有乳腺癌。如果不进行筛查,这些女性不会得到诊断。在相同的十年(五次筛查轮次)中,约五分之一的女性至少会有一次乳房X线摄影术检查结果需要进一步的诊断检查。此外,即使实施了乳房X线摄影术筛查,20%至30%的乳腺癌患者也不会通过筛查而是在筛查轮次之间被诊断出来。公众对乳房X线摄影术筛查的益处和危害的信息和了解不足,因为益处被高估而危害被低估。需要让女性群体更好地了解乳房X线摄影术筛查的这两个方面。女性有权获得充分的循证信息,以便就是否参加乳房X线摄影术筛查做出明智的决定。