Davis S, Ross A, Voigt L F, Heuser L
Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA 98104.
Am J Epidemiol. 1990 Jul;132(1 Suppl):S144-55. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115777.
Random digit dialing is a method commonly used to select random population samples in epidemiologic research. Although random digit dialing is generally presumed to provide representative samples, coverage and nonresponse errors may affect the degree to which the sample is representative. The present investigation was undertaken to determine whether the geographic distributions of samples selected using variations of the basic random digit dialing technique accurately reflect the underlying population distribution, and if not, whether such samples tend to be either more or less dispersed than the populations from which they were selected. Data regarding control groups from three case-control studies conducted from 1983-1986 were utilized. The residence addresses of 998 controls were located and assigned an X-Y coordinate and census tract designation within a three-county geographic area in northwest Washington State. Initially, the spatial distributions of controls were examined graphically in relation to the age-sex structure of the underlying population. No differences in geographic pattern were apparent. A more formal statistical evaluation was conducted based on centrographic techniques utilizing two measures to describe the spatial distribution of a set of points. Results indicate that the samples chosen were neither more nor less dispersed than the underlying populations. However, the geographic centers of samples selected using primary numbers tended to be shifted from the centers of their respective populations. Several possible explanations for such shifts are considered, and extensions of the analytical approach are suggested in relation to the further evaluation of population sampling and the investigation of space-time aggregations of disease.
随机数字拨号是流行病学研究中常用的一种选择随机人群样本的方法。尽管一般认为随机数字拨号能提供具有代表性的样本,但覆盖范围和无应答误差可能会影响样本的代表性程度。本研究旨在确定使用基本随机数字拨号技术的变体所选取样本的地理分布是否准确反映潜在人群分布,如果不能,这些样本与所选取人群相比是否倾向于更分散或更集中。利用了1983年至1986年进行的三项病例对照研究中对照组的数据。确定了998名对照的居住地址,并在华盛顿州西北部一个三县地理区域内为其指定了X - Y坐标和普查区名称。最初,对照的空间分布与潜在人群的年龄 - 性别结构相关进行了图形化检查。地理模式上没有明显差异。基于中心图形技术进行了更正式的统计评估,使用两种度量来描述一组点的空间分布。结果表明,所选取的样本与潜在人群相比既没有更分散也没有更集中。然而,使用主要号码选取的样本的地理中心往往偏离其各自人群的中心。考虑了这种偏移的几种可能解释,并针对人群抽样的进一步评估和疾病时空聚集的调查提出了分析方法的扩展。