Orsi Rebecca, Winokur Marc, Crawford Graig, Mace Stephanie, Batchelder Keri
Colorado State University, USA.
Child Welfare. 2012;91(4):41-59.
A sample of 4,589 Colorado child welfare cases that closed between October 2007 and September 2009 was analyzed. All cases involved child abuse or neglect. Permanency and follow-up outcomes were scored using a methodology developed for the study. Scores were used to create an ordinal measure of success for the case. A cumulative logit statistical model examined the relationship between the newly-developed ordinal success measure and six predictor variables: number of caregivers, risk of abuse, poverty, risk of neglect, age of primary caregiver, and substance abuse issues. Case profiles are provided. Limitations and implications for practice are discussed.
对2007年10月至2009年9月期间结案的4589例科罗拉多州儿童福利案件样本进行了分析。所有案件均涉及虐待或忽视儿童问题。使用为该研究开发的方法对永久性和后续结果进行评分。分数用于创建案件成功的顺序度量。累积logit统计模型检验了新开发的顺序成功度量与六个预测变量之间的关系：照顾者数量、虐待风险、贫困、忽视风险、主要照顾者年龄和药物滥用问题。提供了案例概况。讨论了局限性及对实践的启示。
