2010 年全球疾病负担中的失能权重:含义不清且夸大国际协议。

Disability weights in the Global Burden of Disease 2010: unclear meaning and overstatement of international agreement.

机构信息

The Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Norway; The University of Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Health Policy. 2013 Jun;111(1):99-104. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2013.03.019. Epub 2013 Apr 19.

Abstract

The Global Burden of Disease Project (GBD) is a huge international enterprise that provides vast amounts of valuable data on (a) the prevalence of different diseases in the world as a whole, in regions and in individual countries, (b) their causes (risk factors), and (c) their burden on populations in terms of Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs). However, the methods used for disability weighting of life years are problematic. After a long history of changing concepts and methods the GBD in its 2010 version has landed on 'health' as a unidimensional construct to be used for weighing multi-dimensional non-fatal health problems against each other and against death. The unidimensional health construct does not have a clear meaning. It likely also leads to biases in assessments of conditions that in everyday language are associated with 'being ill' as opposed to conditions which are not associated with 'being ill' (states of physical disability and the state dead). Furthermore, the transformation of ordinal data from paired comparisons into disability weights with purported ratio scale properties is not validated nor explained in a way that allows judgements of face validity. There are also issues related to the way in which different health problems were described to respondents. Lastly, international agreement on disability weights is clearly overstated. Policy makers at national and international levels should understand the GBD 2010 methods properly and carefully consider their validity before deciding to implement the methods, or the disability weights estimated so far by means of them, in further projects and studies. Considerable local adjustments of the weights offered presently are a likely outcome of such methodological scrutiny.

摘要

全球疾病负担研究(GBD)是一个庞大的国际项目,提供了关于(a)全球、地区和国家的各种疾病的流行情况,(b)它们的病因(风险因素),以及(c)其对人口的残疾调整生命年(DALY)负担的大量有价值的数据。然而,用于残疾加权生命年的方法存在问题。经过长期的概念和方法变更,GBD 在其 2010 年版本中,将“健康”作为一个单一维度的结构,用于相互权衡多维非致命性健康问题以及与死亡的关系。单一维度的健康结构没有明确的含义。它可能还会导致对那些在日常语言中与“生病”相关的条件的评估存在偏见,而不是与“生病”无关的条件(身体残疾状态和死亡状态)。此外,将来自配对比较的有序数据转换为具有假定比例量表属性的残疾权重的方法未经验证,也没有以允许对表面有效性进行判断的方式进行解释。还有与向受访者描述不同健康问题的方式有关的问题。最后,关于残疾权重的国际共识显然被夸大了。国家和国际层面的政策制定者应该正确理解 GBD 2010 方法,并在决定实施这些方法或通过这些方法估计迄今为止的残疾权重,在进一步的项目和研究中,要仔细考虑其有效性。这种方法学审查的一个可能结果是提供相当大的权重本地调整。

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