Institute of Biostatistics and Analyses, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
Am J Hematol. 2013 Sep;88(9):790-7. doi: 10.1002/ajh.23508. Epub 2013 Jul 23.
Using the data of 723 chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients in the chronic phase, we analyzed the prognostic value of the Sokal, Euro, and EUTOS scores as well as the level of BCR-ABL1 and the achievement of complete cytogenetic response (CCgR) at 3 months of imatinib therapy in relation to the so-called current survival measures: the current cumulative incidence (CCI) reflecting the probability of being alive and in CCgR after starting imatinib therapy; the current leukemia-free survival (CLFS) reflecting the probability of being alive and in CCgR after achieving the first CCgR; and the overall survival. The greatest difference between the CCI curves at 5 years after initiating imatinib therapy was observed for the BCR-ABL1 transcripts at 3 months. The 5-year CCI was 94.3% in patients with BCR-ABL1 transcripts ≤ 10% and 57.1% in patients with BCR-ABL1 transcripts > 10% (P = 0.005). Therefore, the examination of BCR-ABL1 transcripts at 3 months may help in early identification of patients who are likely to perform poorly with imatinib. On the other hand, CLFS was not significantly affected by the considered stratifications. In conclusion, our results indicate that once the CCgR is achieved, the prognosis is good irrespective of the starting prognostic risks.
我们分析了 723 例慢性期慢性髓性白血病(CML)患者的数据,评估了 Sokal、Euro 和 EUTOS 评分、BCR-ABL1 水平以及伊马替尼治疗 3 个月时完全细胞遗传学缓解(CCgR)的达成情况对所谓的当前生存措施的预后价值:当前累积发生率(CCI)反映了开始伊马替尼治疗后存活并达到 CCgR 的概率;当前无白血病生存(CLFS)反映了达到首次 CCgR 后存活并达到 CCgR 的概率;以及总生存。在开始伊马替尼治疗后 5 年内,3 个月时 BCR-ABL1 转录本的 CCI 曲线差异最大。BCR-ABL1 转录本≤10%的患者 5 年 CCI 为 94.3%,BCR-ABL1 转录本>10%的患者为 57.1%(P=0.005)。因此,在早期识别可能对伊马替尼治疗效果不佳的患者方面,3 个月时检查 BCR-ABL1 转录本可能会有所帮助。另一方面,CLFS 不受所考虑分层的显著影响。总之,我们的结果表明,一旦达到 CCgR,无论起始预后风险如何,预后均良好。