University of Technology, Sydney, CHERE, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Health Econ. 2014 Jun;23(6):729-42. doi: 10.1002/hec.2953. Epub 2013 Jun 13.
Conventionally, generic quality-of-life health states, defined within multi-attribute utility instruments, have been valued using a Standard Gamble or a Time Trade-Off. Both are grounded in expected utility theory but impose strong assumptions about the form of the utility function. Preference elicitation tasks for both are complicated, limiting the number of health states that each respondent can value and, therefore, that can be valued overall. The usual approach has been to value a set of the possible health states and impute values for the remainder. Discrete Choice Experiments (DCEs) offer an attractive alternative, allowing investigation of more flexible specifications of the utility function and greater coverage of the response surface. We designed a DCE to obtain values for EQ-5D health states and implemented it in an Australia-representative online panel (n = 1,031). A range of specifications investigating non-linear preferences with respect to time and interactions between EQ-5D levels were estimated using a random-effects probit model. The results provide empirical support for a flexible utility function, including at least some two-factor interactions. We then constructed a preference index such that full health and death were valued at 1 and 0, respectively, to provide a DCE-based algorithm for Australian cost-utility analyses.
传统上,在多属性效用工具中定义的通用生活质量健康状况使用标准博弈或时间权衡法进行评估。两者都基于期望效用理论,但对效用函数的形式施加了严格的假设。这两种偏好 elicitation 任务都很复杂,限制了每个受访者可以评估的健康状况数量,因此可以整体评估的健康状况数量也受到限制。通常的方法是对一组可能的健康状况进行评估,并推断其余的健康状况的价值。离散选择实验(DCE)提供了一种有吸引力的替代方法,可以研究更灵活的效用函数规范,并更全面地覆盖响应曲面。我们设计了一个 DCE 来获取 EQ-5D 健康状况的价值,并在具有代表性的澳大利亚在线小组(n=1031)中实施了该实验。使用随机效应概率模型估计了一系列针对时间的非线性偏好和 EQ-5D 水平之间的相互作用的规范。结果为灵活的效用函数提供了经验支持,包括至少一些双因素相互作用。然后,我们构建了一个偏好指数,使完全健康和死亡的价值分别为 1 和 0,从而为澳大利亚的成本效益分析提供了基于 DCE 的算法。