Health Protection Agency East of England, Institute of Public Health, Cambridge, UK.
J Hosp Infect. 2013 Jul;84(3):227-34. doi: 10.1016/j.jhin.2012.12.018. Epub 2013 Jun 17.
Clostridium difficile infection remains a major challenge for hospitals. Although targeted infection control initiatives have been shown to be effective in reducing the incidence of hospital-acquired C. difficile infection, there is little evidence available to assess the effectiveness of specific interventions.
To use statistical modelling to detect substantial reductions in the incidence of C. difficile from time series data from two hospitals in England, and relate these time points to infection control interventions.
A statistical breakpoints model was fitted to likely hospital-acquired C. difficile infection incidence data from a teaching hospital (2002-2009) and a district general hospital (2005-2009) in England. Models with increasing complexity (i.e. increasing the number of breakpoints) were tested for an improved fit to the data. Partitions estimated from breakpoint models were tested for individual stability using statistical process control charts. Major infection control interventions from both hospitals during this time were grouped according to their primary target (antibiotics, cleaning, isolation, other) and mapped to the model-suggested breakpoints.
For both hospitals, breakpoints coincided with enhancements to cleaning protocols. Statistical models enabled formal assessment of the impact of different interventions, and showed that enhancements to deep cleaning programmes are the interventions that have most likely led to substantial reductions in hospital-acquired C. difficile infections at the two hospitals studied.
艰难梭菌感染仍然是医院面临的主要挑战。虽然针对感染控制的目标性举措已被证实能够有效降低医院获得性艰难梭菌感染的发生率,但目前几乎没有证据可以评估具体干预措施的有效性。
使用统计建模方法从英格兰的两家医院的时间序列数据中检测出艰难梭菌感染发生率的显著降低,并将这些时间点与感染控制干预措施联系起来。
拟合了统计断点模型,用于分析英格兰一家教学医院(2002-2009 年)和一家地区综合医院(2005-2009 年)的可能发生的医院获得性艰难梭菌感染发生率数据。测试了具有更高复杂度(即增加断点数量)的模型,以评估其对数据的拟合程度。使用统计过程控制图对断点模型估计的分区进行了个体稳定性测试。在此期间,两所医院的主要感染控制干预措施根据其主要目标(抗生素、清洁、隔离、其他)进行分组,并与模型建议的断点进行映射。
对于这两家医院,断点都与清洁方案的改进相吻合。统计模型能够对不同干预措施的影响进行正式评估,并表明深度清洁方案的改进是导致两所研究医院医院获得性艰难梭菌感染显著减少的最可能的干预措施。