Hill Benjamin Mako, Shaw Aaron
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America ; Berkman Center for Internet & Society, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2013 Jun 26;8(6):e65782. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0065782. Print 2013.
Opt-in surveys are the most widespread method used to study participation in online communities, but produce biased results in the absence of adjustments for non-response. A 2008 survey conducted by the Wikimedia Foundation and United Nations University at Maastricht is the source of a frequently cited statistic that less than 13% of Wikipedia contributors are female. However, the same study suggested that only 39.9% of Wikipedia readers in the US were female - a finding contradicted by a representative survey of American adults by the Pew Research Center conducted less than two months later. Combining these two datasets through an application and extension of a propensity score estimation technique used to model survey non-response bias, we construct revised estimates, contingent on explicit assumptions, for several of the Wikimedia Foundation and United Nations University at Maastricht claims about Wikipedia editors. We estimate that the proportion of female US adult editors was 27.5% higher than the original study reported (22.7%, versus 17.8%), and that the total proportion of female editors was 26.8% higher (16.1%, versus 12.7%).
选择加入式调查是研究在线社区参与情况最普遍使用的方法,但在未对无回应情况进行调整时会产生有偏差的结果。维基媒体基金会和马斯特里赫特大学联合国大学在2008年进行的一项调查是一个经常被引用的统计数据的来源,即维基百科贡献者中女性不到13%。然而,同一项研究表明,在美国,维基百科读者中只有39.9%是女性——这一发现与皮尤研究中心在不到两个月后对美国成年人进行的一项代表性调查相矛盾。通过应用和扩展一种用于模拟调查无回应偏差的倾向得分估计技术来合并这两个数据集,我们在明确假设的条件下,对维基媒体基金会和马斯特里赫特大学联合国大学关于维基百科编辑的几项说法构建了修正估计值。我们估计,美国成年女性编辑的比例比原研究报告的高27.5%(分别为22.7%和17.8%),女性编辑的总比例高26.8%(分别为16.1%和12.7%)。