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在乳腺炎和跛行监测中实施多元累积和控制图。

Implementation of multivariate cumulative sum control charts in mastitis and lameness monitoring.

机构信息

Institute of Animal Breeding and Husbandry, Kiel, Germany.

出版信息

J Dairy Sci. 2013 Sep;96(9):5723-33. doi: 10.3168/jds.2012-6460. Epub 2013 Jul 10.

Abstract

This study analyzed the methodology and applicability of multivariate cumulative sum (MCUSUM) charts for early mastitis and lameness detection. Data used were recorded on the Karkendamm dairy research farm, Germany, between August 2008 and December 2010. Data of 328 and 315 cows in their first 200 d in milk were analyzed for mastitis and lameness detection, respectively. Mastitis as well as lameness was specified according to veterinary treatments. Both diseases were defined as disease blocks. Different disease definitions for mastitis and lameness (2 for mastitis and 3 for lameness) varied solely in the sequence length of the blocks. Only the days before the treatment were included in the disease blocks. Milk electrical conductivity, milk yield, and feeding patterns (feed intake, number of trough visits, and feeding time) were used for the recognition of mastitis. Pedometer activity and feeding patterns were used for lameness detection. To exclude biological trends and obtain independent observations, the values of each input variable were either preprocessed by wavelet filters or a multivariate vector autoregressive model. The residuals generated between the observed and filtered or observed and forecast values, respectively, were then transferred to a classic or self-starting MCUSUM chart. The combination of the 2 preprocessing methods with each of the 2 MCUSUM sum charts resulted in 4 combined monitoring systems. For mastitis as well as lameness detection requiring a block sensitivity of at least 70%, all 4 of the combined monitoring systems used revealed similar results within each of the disease definitions. Specificities of 73 to 80% and error rates of 99.6% were achieved for mastitis. The results for lameness showed that the definitions used obtained specificities of up to 81% and error rates of 99.1%. The results indicate that the monitoring systems with these study characteristics have appealing features for mastitis and lameness detection. However, they are not yet directly applicable for practical implementations.

摘要

本研究分析了多元累积和(MCUSUM)图在早期乳腺炎和跛行检测中的方法学和适用性。使用的数据记录于德国卡伦丹姆奶牛研究农场,时间为 2008 年 8 月至 2010 年 12 月。分别分析了 328 头和 315 头奶牛在产犊后前 200 天的乳腺炎和跛行检测数据。乳腺炎和跛行均根据兽医治疗进行了具体说明。两种疾病都被定义为疾病块。乳腺炎和跛行的不同疾病定义(乳腺炎 2 种,跛行 3 种)仅在块的序列长度上有所不同。仅包括治疗前的天数。电导率、产奶量和喂养模式(采食量、采食槽访问次数和采食时间)用于识别乳腺炎。计步器活动和喂养模式用于跛行检测。为了排除生物趋势并获得独立的观察结果,使用小波滤波器或多元向量自回归模型对每个输入变量的值进行预处理。然后,将观察值与滤波值或观察值与预测值之间的残差分别转移到经典或自启动 MCUSUM 图中。将这 2 种预处理方法中的每一种与 2 种 MCUSUM 总和图中的每一种相结合,得到 4 种组合监测系统。对于需要至少 70%的块灵敏度的乳腺炎和跛行检测,所有 4 种组合监测系统在每种疾病定义下都产生了相似的结果。乳腺炎的特异性为 73%至 80%,错误率为 99.6%。跛行的结果表明,所使用的定义获得了高达 81%的特异性和 99.1%的错误率。结果表明,具有这些研究特征的监测系统在乳腺炎和跛行检测方面具有吸引力。然而,它们尚未直接适用于实际应用。

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