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台湾川崎病发病率的估计:两种数据来源的比较——全国医院调查与国民健康保险理赔数据

Estimation of the incidence of Kawasaki disease in Taiwan. A comparison of two data sources: nationwide hospital survey and national health insurance claims.

作者信息

Lue Hung-Chi, Chen Lei-Ru, Lin Ming-Tai, Chang Luan-Yin, Wang Jou-Kou, Lee Chin-Yun, Wu Mei-Hwan

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, National Taiwan University Children's Hospital, Taiwan; Department of Pediatrics, Luo-dong Saint Mary's Hospital, Taiwan.

Department of Pediatrics, National Taiwan University Children's Hospital, Taiwan.

出版信息

Pediatr Neonatol. 2014 Apr;55(2):97-100. doi: 10.1016/j.pedneo.2013.05.011. Epub 2013 Jul 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Kawasaki disease (KD), first described by Dr. Tomisaku Kawasaki in 1967, was found for the first time in Taiwan in 1976. It continued to occur in increased numbers. For the study of incidence rates and epidemiological features of KD, we conducted five nationwide hospital surveys (NHS) in 1987, 1992, 1994, 2001 and 2008, respectively. We estimated also the annual incidence rates of KD during 1996-2007, based on the National Health Insurance (NHI) database, which had been implemented since 1995, covering 98% of the population in Taiwan.

METHODS

The annual incidence rates of KD during the twelve years, from1996 to 2007, estimated by the NHS and the NHI claims were compared, analyzed and discussed.

RESULTS

During 1996-2007, a total of 9,938 cases of KD were reported by the Departments of Pediatrics of all hospitals surveyed, and a total of 11,849 cases of KD were claimed in the NHI database. The annual number of cases and incidence rates of KD based on NHI claims constantly surpassed those by the NHS. The ratio of the two incidence rates varied from 1.10 to 1.33. They were well correlated (r = 0.902, p < 0.001) with a linear equation, NHI = 16.07 + 0.93*NHS. The changes in annual incidence rate by the NHI were mean 1.149, p = 0.07, 95% CI -0.082 - 2.382, and those by the NHS were mean 1.562, p <0.001, CI 0.656 - 2.468.

CONCLUSION

The annual incidence rates of KD can be estimated by the NHI claims and by the classic NHS. The values estimated by the NHI claims constantly outnumbered those by the NHS. Some pitfalls involved in the NHI claims are discussed.

摘要

背景

川崎病(KD)由川崎富作博士于1967年首次描述,1976年在台湾首次发现。此后其发病数量持续增加。为研究川崎病的发病率和流行病学特征,我们分别于1987年、1992年、1994年、2001年和2008年进行了五次全国性医院调查(NHS)。我们还基于自1995年起实施、覆盖台湾98%人口的国民健康保险(NHI)数据库,估算了1996 - 2007年期间川崎病的年发病率。

方法

对1996年至2007年这十二年期间通过NHS和NHI理赔估算的川崎病年发病率进行比较、分析和讨论。

结果

1996 - 2007年期间,所有参与调查医院的儿科共报告了9938例川崎病病例,NHI数据库中共有11849例川崎病理赔记录。基于NHI理赔的川崎病年病例数和发病率一直超过NHS报告的数字。两种发病率的比值在1.10至1.33之间变化。它们具有良好的相关性(r = 0.902,p < 0.001),线性方程为NHI = 16.07 + 0.93 * NHS。NHI估算的年发病率变化均值为1.149,p = 0.07,95%置信区间为 - 0.082至2.382;NHS估算的年发病率变化均值为1.562,p < 0.001,置信区间为0.656至2.468。

结论

川崎病的年发病率可通过NHI理赔和经典的NHS进行估算。NHI理赔估算的值一直多于NHS估算的值。文中讨论了NHI理赔中存在的一些问题。

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