Gradl Gertraud, Neuhaus Valentin, Fuchsberger Thomas, Guitton Thierry G, Prommersberger Karl-Josef, Ring David
Department for Trauma and Reconstructive Surgery, University of Aachen Medical Center, Aachen, Germany.
J Hand Surg Am. 2013 Sep;38(9):1685-90. doi: 10.1016/j.jhsa.2013.05.039. Epub 2013 Jul 30.
To evaluate the reliability and accuracy of diagnosis of scapholunate dissociation (SLD) among AO type C (compression articular) fractures of the distal radius.
A total of 217 surgeons evaluated 21 sets of radiographs with type C fractures of the distal radius for which the status of the scapholunate interosseous ligament was established by preoperative 3-compartment computed tomographic arthrography with direct operative visualization of diagnosed SLD (reference standard). Observers were asked whether SLD was present, and if yes, whether they would recommend operative treatment. Diagnostic performance characteristics were calculated with respect to the reference standard. We assessed interobserver reliability using the Fleiss generalized kappa.
The interobserver agreement for radiographic diagnosis of SLD was moderate (κ = 0.44). Correct diagnosis for a given set of radiographs ranged from 8% to 98% (average, 79%) of observers. Diagnostic performance characteristics were: 69% sensitivity, 84% specificity, 84% accuracy, 68% positive predictive value, and 84% negative predictive value. Based on a prevalence of 5%, Bayes adjusted positive and negative predictive values were 18% and 98%, respectively. Raters recommended operative treatment in 74% to 100% of patients diagnosed with SLD.
Radiographs are moderately reliable and are better at ruling out than ruling in SLD associated with type C fracture of the distal radius.
评估桡骨远端AO C型(压缩关节面)骨折中舟月骨分离(SLD)诊断的可靠性和准确性。
共有217名外科医生对21组桡骨远端C型骨折的X线片进行评估,术前通过3个间隔的计算机断层扫描关节造影及诊断为SLD的直接手术可视化确定舟月骨间韧带的状态(参考标准)。询问观察者是否存在SLD,若存在,他们是否会推荐手术治疗。根据参考标准计算诊断性能特征。我们使用Fleiss广义kappa评估观察者间的可靠性。
观察者间对SLD的X线诊断一致性为中等(κ = 0.44)。对于给定的一组X线片,正确诊断的观察者比例为8%至98%(平均79%)。诊断性能特征为:灵敏度69%,特异度84%,准确度84%,阳性预测值68%,阴性预测值84%。基于5%的患病率,贝叶斯调整后的阳性和阴性预测值分别为18%和98%。评估者在74%至100%诊断为SLD的患者中推荐手术治疗。
X线片的可靠性中等,在排除与桡骨远端C型骨折相关的SLD方面比确诊方面表现更好。