Masucci A Paolo, Serras Joan, Johansson Anders, Batty Michael
Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, W1T 4TJ, London, United Kingdom.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2013 Aug;88(2):022812. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.88.022812. Epub 2013 Aug 22.
We test the recently introduced radiation model against the gravity model for the system composed of England and Wales, both for commuting patterns and for public transportation flows. The analysis is performed both at macroscopic scales, i.e., at the national scale, and at microscopic scales, i.e., at the city level. It is shown that the thermodynamic limit assumption for the original radiation model significantly underestimates the commuting flows for large cities. We then generalize the radiation model, introducing the correct normalization factor for finite systems. We show that even if the gravity model has a better overall performance the parameter-free radiation model gives competitive results, especially for large scales.
我们针对由英格兰和威尔士组成的系统,在通勤模式和公共交通流量方面,将最近引入的辐射模型与引力模型进行了对比测试。分析在宏观尺度(即国家层面)和微观尺度(即城市层面)上均有开展。结果表明,原始辐射模型的热力学极限假设显著低估了大城市的通勤流量。随后我们对辐射模型进行了推广,引入了针对有限系统的正确归一化因子。结果显示,即便引力模型整体表现更佳,但无参数的辐射模型也能给出具有竞争力的结果,尤其是在大尺度情况下。