Manu Peter, Al-Dhaher Zainab, Khan Sameer, Kane John M, Correll Christoph U
Zucker Hillside Hospital, North Shore - Long Island Jewish Health System, 75-59 263rd Street, Glen Oaks, NY, 11004, USA,
Psychiatr Q. 2014 Mar;85(1):111-20. doi: 10.1007/s11126-013-9274-2.
Elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN) is associated with increased severity of illness and mortality, but its predictive value has not been studied in patients admitted to free-standing psychiatric hospitals. To determine the clinical outcome of psychiatric inpatients with elevated BUN on admission and to create a quantitative method of using BUN for predicting deteriorations requiring transfers of psychiatric inpatients to a general hospital we conducted a retrospective cohort study of 939 adults consecutively admitted to a free-standing psychiatric hospital in 2010. Transfer to a general hospital was used as a proxy marker for poor medical outcome. The score Age (years) plus BUN (mg/dL) was used in sensitivity analyses to identify patients with medical deterioration in derivation (N = 523) and validation (N = 414) samples. Fifty-two (5.5%) patients had admission azotemia (BUN >25 mg/dL). Medical deteriorations requiring emergency transfer to a general hospital occurred in 24 (46.2%; 95% confidence interval = 32.6-49.8%) of azotemic patients and 112 (12.6%; 95% confidence interval = 10.4-14.8%) of those with normal BUN (p < 0.0001). Age + BUN ≥ 90 identified 51 transferred patients and had positive and negative predictive values of 39.8 and 89.5%, respectively, in the entire sample. We conclude that psychiatric inpatients with BUN >25 mg/dL or Age + BUN ≥ 90 are at risk for medical deterioration. Free-standing psychiatric hospitals should develop models of care requiring frequent, scheduled medical follow-up and enhanced monitoring for this vulnerable populations.
血尿素氮(BUN)升高与疾病严重程度增加及死亡率升高相关,但在独立精神病医院住院的患者中,其预测价值尚未得到研究。为了确定入院时BUN升高的精神科住院患者的临床结局,并创建一种使用BUN预测精神科住院患者病情恶化需要转至综合医院的定量方法,我们对2010年连续入住一家独立精神病医院的939名成年人进行了一项回顾性队列研究。转至综合医院被用作医疗结局不佳的替代指标。在推导样本(N = 523)和验证样本(N = 414)的敏感性分析中,使用年龄(岁)加BUN(mg/dL)评分来识别病情恶化的患者。52名(5.5%)患者入院时存在氮质血症(BUN >25 mg/dL)。24名(46.2%;95%置信区间 = 32.6 - 49.8%)氮质血症患者以及112名(12.6%;95%置信区间 = 10.4 - 14.8%)BUN正常的患者出现了需要紧急转至综合医院的病情恶化(p < 0.0001)。年龄 + BUN≥90识别出51名转院患者,在整个样本中的阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为39.8%和89.5%。我们得出结论,BUN >25 mg/dL或年龄 + BUN≥90的精神科住院患者存在病情恶化的风险。独立精神病医院应制定护理模式,对这一脆弱人群进行频繁、定期的医疗随访并加强监测。