Pan Haitao, Xie Fang, Liu Ping, Xia Jielai, Ji Yuan
aDepartment of Health Statistics, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Clin Trials. 2014 Feb;11(1):49-59. doi: 10.1177/1740774513500081. Epub 2013 Oct 17.
Standard drug development conducts phase I dose finding and phase II dose expansion sequentially and separately. Information between the two phases is rarely shared. Administratively, such a sequential process is time-consuming and burdensome.
We propose seamless dose escalation/expansion with adaptive randomization scheme (SEARS), a seamless design that combines phase I dose escalation based on toxicity with phase II dose expansion and dose comparison based on efficacy. SEARS allows extension from phase I to phase II under one design with no gap in between and employs a dynamic and parallel procedure involving simultaneous dose escalation, dose graduation, and adaptive randomization.
SEARS integrates three components into a seamless scheme. Specifically, in phase I, SEARS applies the modified toxicity probability interval (mTPI) method to monitor dose escalation based on toxicity outcome. Doses that show promising efficacy and safety are immediately graduated from phase I and placed to a phase II stage in which patients are adaptively randomized based on efficacy outcome. Phase I dose escalation, dose graduation, and phase II adaptive randomization proceed simultaneously throughout the entire trial.
Examples are given comparing SEARS with two other designs, in which superior performance of SEARS is demonstrated. An important and promising finding is that SEARS reduces sample sizes without losing power. R program and demo slides of SEARS can be obtained at http://health.bsd.uchicago.edu/yji/soft.html
We assume that the binary efficacy and toxicity response can be measured in the same time frame. This is often achievable with surrogate efficacy markers in practice.
标准药物研发依次且分别进行I期剂量探索和II期剂量扩展。两个阶段之间的信息很少共享。在管理上,这样的顺序过程既耗时又繁琐。
我们提出了一种具有自适应随机化方案的无缝剂量递增/扩展方法(SEARS),这是一种无缝设计,它将基于毒性的I期剂量递增与II期剂量扩展以及基于疗效的剂量比较相结合。SEARS允许在一个设计下从I期扩展到II期,中间没有间隙,并采用一种动态并行程序,包括同时进行剂量递增、剂量分级和自适应随机化。
SEARS将三个部分整合到一个无缝方案中。具体而言,在I期,SEARS应用改良的毒性概率区间(mTPI)方法,根据毒性结果监测剂量递增。显示出有前景的疗效和安全性的剂量会立即从I期分级,并进入II期阶段,在该阶段患者根据疗效结果进行自适应随机化。在整个试验过程中,I期剂量递增、剂量分级和II期自适应随机化同时进行。
给出了将SEARS与其他两种设计进行比较的示例,展示了SEARS的优越性能。一个重要且有前景的发现是,SEARS在不损失检验效能的情况下减少了样本量。可在http://health.bsd.uchicago.edu/yji/soft.html获取SEARS的R程序和演示幻灯片。
我们假设二元疗效和毒性反应可以在同一时间框架内测量。在实践中,使用替代疗效标志物通常可以实现这一点。