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聚居形态转变与居民通勤能源消耗之间的关系

[Relationships between settlement morphology transition and residents commuting energy consumption].

作者信息

Zhou Jian, Xiao Rong-Bo, Sun Xiang

机构信息

Low Carbon & Ecological Research Center, Guangdong Provincial Academy of Environment Science, Guangzhou 510045, China.

出版信息

Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2013 Jul;24(7):1977-84.

Abstract

Settlement morphology transition is triggered by rapid urbanization and urban expansion, but its relationships with residents commuting energy consumption remains ambiguous. It is of significance to understand the controlling mechanisms of sustainable public management policies on the energy consumption and greenhouse gases emission during the process of urban settlement morphology transition. Taking the Xiamen City of East China as a case, and by using the integrated land use and transportation modeling system TRANUS, a scenario analysis was made to study the effects of urban settlement morphology transition on the urban spatial distribution of population, jobs, and land use, and on the residents commuting energy consumption and greenhouse gasses emission under different scenarios. The results showed that under the Business As Usual (BAU) scenario, the energy consumption of the residents at the morning peak travel time was 54.35 tce, and the CO2 emission was 119.12 t. As compared with those under BAU scenario, both the energy consumption and the CO2 emission under the Transition of Settlement Morphology (TSM) scenario increased by 12%, and, with the implementation of the appropriate policies such as land use, transportation, and economy, the energy consumption and CO2 emission under the Transition of Settlement Morphology with Policies (TSMP) scenario reduced by 7%, indicating that urban public management policies could effectively control the growth of residents commuting energy consumption and greenhouse gases emission during the period of urban settlement morphology transition.

摘要

住区形态转变是由快速城市化和城市扩张引发的,但其与居民通勤能源消耗之间的关系仍不明确。了解城市住区形态转变过程中可持续公共管理政策对能源消耗和温室气体排放的控制机制具有重要意义。以中国东部的厦门市为例,利用土地利用与交通一体化建模系统TRANUS,进行情景分析,研究城市住区形态转变对城市人口、就业和土地利用的空间分布,以及不同情景下居民通勤能源消耗和温室气体排放的影响。结果表明,在照常情景(BAU)下,早高峰出行时段居民的能源消耗为54.35吨标准煤,二氧化碳排放量为119.12吨。与BAU情景相比,住区形态转变(TSM)情景下的能源消耗和二氧化碳排放量均增加了12%,而通过实施土地利用、交通和经济等适当政策,有政策的住区形态转变(TSMP)情景下的能源消耗和二氧化碳排放量减少了7%,这表明城市公共管理政策能够有效控制城市住区形态转变期间居民通勤能源消耗和温室气体排放的增长。

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