Erpeldinger Sylvie, Fayolle Laure, Boussageon Rémy, Flori Marie, Lainé Xavier, Moreau Alain, Gueyffier François
Department of General Medicine, Université Claude Bernard Lyon1, 69000, Lyon, France.
Trials. 2013 Nov 5;14:368. doi: 10.1186/1745-6215-14-368.
The objective of our meta-analysis and systematic review was to analyze non-breast cancer mortality in women screened with mammography versus non-screened women to determine whether there is excess mortality caused by screening.
We searched PubMed and the Web of Science up to 30 November 2010. We included randomized controlled trials with non-breast cancer mortality as the main endpoint. Two authors independently assessed trial quality and extracted data.
There was no significant difference between groups at 13-year follow-up (odds ratio = 1.00 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.03) with average heterogeneity I2 = 61%) regardless of the age and the methodological quality of the included studies. The meta-analysis did not reveal excess non-breast cancer mortality caused by screening. If screening does have an effect on excess mortality, it is possible to provide an estimate of its maximum value through the upper confidence interval in good-quality methodological studies: up to 3% in the screened women group (12 deaths per 100,000 women).
The all-cause death rate was not significantly reduced by screening when compared to the rate observed in unscreened women. However, mammography screening does not seem to induce excess mortality. These findings improve information given to patients. Finding more comprehensive data is now going to be difficult given the complexity of the studies. Individual modeling should be used because the studies fail to include all the aspects of a complex situation. The risk/benefit analysis of screening needs to be regularly and independently reassessed.
我们进行这项荟萃分析和系统评价的目的是,分析接受乳房X线筛查的女性与未接受筛查的女性的非乳腺癌死亡率,以确定筛查是否会导致额外死亡率。
我们检索了截至2010年11月30日的PubMed和科学网。我们纳入了以非乳腺癌死亡率作为主要终点的随机对照试验。两位作者独立评估试验质量并提取数据。
在13年的随访中,无论纳入研究的年龄和方法学质量如何,两组之间均无显著差异(优势比=1.00(95%可信区间0.98至1.03),平均异质性I²=61%)。荟萃分析未发现筛查导致额外的非乳腺癌死亡率。如果筛查确实对额外死亡率有影响,那么通过高质量方法学研究中的上置信区间有可能估计其最大值:筛查女性组中最高可达3%(每10万名女性中有12例死亡)。
与未筛查女性的死亡率相比,筛查并未显著降低全因死亡率。然而,乳房X线筛查似乎不会导致额外死亡率。这些发现完善了向患者提供的信息。鉴于研究的复杂性,现在很难找到更全面的数据。应采用个体建模,因为这些研究未能涵盖复杂情况的所有方面。筛查的风险/效益分析需要定期且独立地重新评估。