Zhao Pan, Wang Chunya, Liu Weiwei, Chen Gang, Liu Xinying, Wang Xi, Wang Bao, Yu Liming, Sun Yanrong, Liang Xiaoming, Yang Haozhen, Zhang Fei
Liver Failure Therapy and Research Center, Beijing 302 Hospital (PLA 302 Hospital), Beijing, China.
PLoS One. 2013 Nov 22;8(11):e80991. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0080991. eCollection 2013.
OBJECTIVES: No extensive investigation has been performed and thus no representative data are available regarding acute liver failure (ALF) in China. This study aims to investigate the causes and outcomes of ALF in China and establish a prognostic model. METHODS: Patients diagnosed as ALF in seven hospitals in different areas of China from January 2007 to December 2012 were retrospectively selected. RESULTS: Of the 177 patients included in this study, 112 (63.28%) eventually died. The common causes of ALF were drug toxicity (43.50%), indeterminate etiology (29.38%) and acute viral hepatitis (11.30%). Additionally, traditional Chinese herbs predominated in the causes of drug-induced ALF (30/77). No patients in this study received liver transplantation. In the established model for predicting death in ALF, four variables were finally selected out, including age (P=0.01), the entry hepatic encephalopathy grade (P=0.04), international normalized ratio (P<0.01) and arterial blood ammonia (P=0.02). Using a threshold value of 0.5683, this model had a sensitivity of 95.24% and a specificity of 91.30%. CONCLUSIONS: Traditional Chinese medicine was a major cause of ALF in China. The spontaneous mortality of ALF was high, whereas the rate of liver transplantation was significantly low. The established prognostic model of ALF had superior sensitivity and specificity.
目的:尚未进行广泛调查,因此中国关于急性肝衰竭(ALF)没有代表性数据。本研究旨在调查中国急性肝衰竭的病因和转归,并建立一个预后模型。 方法:回顾性选取2007年1月至2012年12月在中国不同地区七家医院诊断为急性肝衰竭的患者。 结果:本研究纳入的177例患者中,112例(63.28%)最终死亡。急性肝衰竭的常见病因是药物毒性(43.50%)、病因不明(29.38%)和急性病毒性肝炎(11.30%)。此外,药物性急性肝衰竭的病因中以中草药为主(30/77)。本研究中无患者接受肝移植。在建立的急性肝衰竭死亡预测模型中,最终筛选出四个变量,包括年龄(P = 0.01)、入院时肝性脑病分级(P = 0.04)、国际标准化比值(P < 0.01)和动脉血氨(P = 0.02)。使用阈值0.5683时,该模型的灵敏度为95.24%,特异度为91.30%。 结论:中草药是中国急性肝衰竭的主要病因。急性肝衰竭的自发死亡率高,而肝移植率显著低。建立的急性肝衰竭预后模型具有较高的灵敏度和特异度。
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