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与韩国高速公路致命卡车事故相关的风险因素。

Risk factors related to fatal truck crashes on Korean freeways.

机构信息

a Department of Transportation and Logistics Engineering , Hanyang University , Ansan-si , Korea.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2014;15(1):73-80. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2013.778989.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The major purpose of this study was to identify risk factors affecting truck crashes on freeways and propose recommendations for safer truck traffic operations.

METHODS

Truck crashes were analyzed to identify how truck traffic safety is related to prevailing traffic and weather conditions. Prevailing traffic conditions were characterized by central tendencies and the spatiotemporal variation of traffic parameters collected from freeway traffic surveillance systems. A total of 377 truck crashes occurring on Korean freeways in a recent 3-year period, 2008-2010, were analyzed together with corresponding prevailing traffic conditions and weather conditions. Several statistical tests were conducted to understand the characteristics of prevailing traffic conditions before crash occurrence based on different weather conditions. In addition, a binary logistic regression technique was applied to identify causal factors affecting truck crash severity under normal and adverse weather conditions.

RESULTS

Major findings from the analyses are discussed with truck operations strategies including speed enforcement, variable speed limit, and truck lane restriction from the safety enhancement point of view. Speed-related variables representing prevailing traffic conditions before crash occurrences were found to be the most statistically significant factors affecting truck crash severity, compared to volume-related variables such as the volume-to-capacity ratio (v/c). It is inferred that speed management is an effective tool for safer truck traffic operations on freeways. The major findings can be further discussed to derive valuable insights into truck traffic operations based on different weather conditions, such as normal and adverse.

CONCLUSIONS

Some recommendations for safer truck traffic operations were presented based on the results obtained. The outcomes of this study could be effectively utilized to support the development of various traffic operations strategies and policies for truck traffic safety. Supplemental materials are available for this article. Go to the publisher's online edition of Traffic Injury Prevention to view the supplemental file.

摘要

目的

本研究的主要目的是确定影响高速公路卡车事故的因素,并提出改善卡车交通运行安全的建议。

方法

分析卡车事故,以确定卡车交通安全性与当前交通和天气条件的关系。当前交通条件通过从中控系统收集的交通参数的中心趋势和时空变化来描述。对 2008-2010 年最近 3 年期间在韩国高速公路上发生的 377 起卡车事故,以及相应的当前交通和天气条件进行了分析。根据不同的天气条件,进行了多项统计检验,以了解事故发生前当前交通条件的特征。此外,应用二元逻辑回归技术,确定在正常和不利天气条件下影响卡车事故严重程度的因果因素。

结果

从分析中得出的主要发现,从安全增强的角度讨论了包括速度执法、可变限速和卡车车道限制在内的卡车运行策略。与体积相关的变量(如交通量与通行能力比(v/c))相比,代表事故发生前当前交通条件的速度相关变量被发现是影响卡车事故严重程度的最具统计学意义的因素。这表明速度管理是提高高速公路卡车交通运行安全性的有效工具。可以根据不同的天气条件(如正常和不利条件)进一步讨论主要发现,以得出有关卡车交通运行的有价值的见解。

结论

根据研究结果提出了一些改善卡车交通运行安全的建议。本研究的结果可有效用于支持制定各种针对卡车交通安全性的交通运行策略和政策。本文提供了补充材料。请访问出版商的在线《交通伤害预防》版本查看补充文件。

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