Rev Saude Publica. 2013 Jun;47(3):514-22. doi: 10.1590/s0034-8910.2013047004570.
To determine whether the elimination of certain chronic diseases is capable of leading to the compression of morbidity among elderly individuals.
A population-based, cross-sectional study was carried out with official data for the city of Sao Paulo, Southeastern Brazil in 2000 and data from the SABE (Health, Wellbeing and Ageing) study. Sullivan's method was used to calculate disability-free life expectancy. Cause-deleted life tables were used to calculate the probabilities of death and disabilities with the elimination of health conditions.
The largest gains in disability-free life expectancy, with the elimination of chronic illness, occurred in the female gender. Among individuals of a more advanced age, gains in disability-free life expectancy occurred as result of a relative compression of morbidity. Among men aged 75 years, all conditions studied, except heart disease and systemic arterial pressure, led to an absolute expansion of morbidity and, at the same time, to a relative compression of morbidity upon being eliminated.
The elimination of chronic diseases in the elderly could lead to the compression of morbidity in elderly men and women.
确定消除某些慢性病是否能够导致老年人发病率的压缩。
这是一项基于人群的横断面研究,使用了 2000 年巴西东南部圣保罗市的官方数据和 SABE(健康、福利和老龄化)研究的数据。采用沙利文的方法计算无残疾预期寿命。使用消除健康状况的死因删失寿命表来计算死亡和残疾的概率。
在消除慢性疾病的情况下,女性的无残疾预期寿命增长幅度最大。在年龄较大的人群中,无残疾预期寿命的增长是由于发病率的相对压缩。在 75 岁的男性中,除心脏病和系统性动脉压外,所有研究的疾病都会导致发病率的绝对扩张,同时在消除时也会导致发病率的相对压缩。
消除老年人的慢性病可能会导致老年男性和女性发病率的压缩。