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淋巴细胞/单核细胞比值可预测软组织肉瘤患者的不良临床结局,并提高预测准确性。

The lymphocyte/monocyte ratio predicts poor clinical outcome and improves the predictive accuracy in patients with soft tissue sarcomas.

机构信息

Division of Clinical Oncology Department of Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.

出版信息

Int J Cancer. 2014 Jul 15;135(2):362-70. doi: 10.1002/ijc.28677. Epub 2014 Jan 10.

Abstract

Increasing evidence indicates the involvement of inflammation and coagulation in cancer progression and metastases. Inflammatory biomarkers hold great promise for improving the predictive ability of existing prognostic tools in cancer patients. In the present study, we investigated several inflammatory indices with regard to their prognostic relevance for predicting clinical outcome in soft tissue sarcoma (STS) patients. Three hundred and forty STS patients were divided into a training set (n = 170) and a validation set (n = 170). Besides well-established clinico-pathological prognostic factors, we evaluated the prognostic value of the neutrophil/lymphocyte (N/L) ratio, the lymphocyte/monocyte (L/M) ratio and the platelet/lymphocyte (P/L) ratio using Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate as well as multivariate Cox regression models. Additionally, we developed a nomogram by supplementing the L/M ratio to the well-established Kattan nomogram and evaluated the predictive accuracy of this novel nomogram by applying calibration and Harrell's concordance index (c-index). In multivariate analysis, a low L/M ratio was significantly associated with decreased CSS and DFS (HR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.18-0.97, p = 0.043; HR = 0.39, 95% CI = 0.16-0.91, p = 0.031, respectively) in the training set. Using the validation set for confirmation, we found also in multivariate analysis an independent value for CSS (HR = 0.33, 95% CI = 0.12-0.90, p = 0.03) and for DFS (HR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.16-0.79, p = 0.01). The estimated c-index was 0.74 using the original Kattan nomogram and 0.78 when the L/M ratio was added. Our study reports for the first time that the pre-operative L/M ratio represents a novel independent prognostic factor for prediction the clinical outcome in STS patients. This easily determinable biomarker might be helpful in improved individual risk assessment.

摘要

越来越多的证据表明炎症和凝血在癌症的进展和转移中起作用。炎症生物标志物在提高癌症患者现有预后工具的预测能力方面具有巨大的潜力。在本研究中,我们研究了几种炎症指数,以探讨它们对软组织肉瘤(STS)患者临床结局预测的预后相关性。340 名 STS 患者被分为训练集(n=170)和验证集(n=170)。除了公认的临床病理预后因素外,我们还使用 Kaplan-Meier 曲线和单变量及多变量 Cox 回归模型评估了中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞(N/L)比值、淋巴细胞/单核细胞(L/M)比值和血小板/淋巴细胞(P/L)比值的预后价值。此外,我们通过在经典的 Kattan 列线图中补充 L/M 比值来构建一个列线图,并通过应用校准和 Harrell 一致性指数(c-index)来评估这个新列线图的预测准确性。多变量分析显示,低 L/M 比值与 CSS 和 DFS 降低显著相关(HR=0.41,95%CI=0.18-0.97,p=0.043;HR=0.39,95%CI=0.16-0.91,p=0.031)。在训练集中进行多变量分析时,我们也发现了 CSS(HR=0.33,95%CI=0.12-0.90,p=0.03)和 DFS(HR=0.36,95%CI=0.16-0.79,p=0.01)的独立预后价值。使用验证集进行验证,我们发现 CSS(HR=0.33,95%CI=0.12-0.90,p=0.03)和 DFS(HR=0.36,95%CI=0.16-0.79,p=0.01)的独立预后价值。使用原始 Kattan 列线图的估计 c-index 为 0.74,当加入 L/M 比值时为 0.78。本研究首次报道术前 L/M 比值是预测 STS 患者临床结局的一个新的独立预后因素。这种易于确定的生物标志物可能有助于提高个体风险评估。

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