Molecular Medicine Laboratories, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Education and Research Centre, Beaumont Hospital, Dublin 9, Ireland.
National Cancer Registry of Ireland, Building 6800, Cork Airport Business Park, Kinsale Road, Cork, Ireland.
Cancer Epidemiol. 2014 Feb;38(1):35-41. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2013.12.002. Epub 2014 Jan 4.
OBJECTIVE: Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is a rare malignancy associated with exposure to asbestos. The protracted latent period of MPM means that its incidence has continued to rise across Europe after the introduction of restrictions on asbestos use. In order to obtain a clearer indication of trends in the Republic of Ireland (ROI), incidence and survival were assessed based on all MPM cases reported since the establishment of the National Cancer Registry of Ireland (NCR). METHODS: NCR recorded 337 MPM diagnoses in the ROI during 1994-2009. Survival was assessed for all cases diagnosed with adequate follow-up (n=330). Crude and European age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for all cases and for 4-year periods. A Cox model of observed (all-cause) survival was used to generate hazard ratios for the effect of: gender; age at diagnosis; diagnosis cohort; region of residence; histological type; and tumour stage. Single P-values for the variables indicated were calculated using either a stratified log-rank test or stratified trend test. RESULTS: Over the study period the age-standardized MPM incidence in the ROI rose from 4.98cases per million (cpm) to 7.24cpm. The 1-year survival rate for all MPM cases was 29.6% (CI 24.7-34.6%). Excess mortality risk was associated with age at diagnosis (75-89 yrs vs. 55-64 yrs, HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.35-2.63, P<0.001) and tumour stage (III vs. I HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.00-2.48, P<0.05; IV vs. I HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.08-2.21, P<0.05). Age showed a significant survival trend (P<0.001) but tumour stage did not (P=0.150). There was significant heterogeneity between the survival of patients resident in different regions (P=0.027). CONCLUSION: MPM incidence and mortality continued to rise in the ROI after the restrictions on asbestos use and the predictors of survival detected in this study are broadly consistent with those identified for other countries.
目的:恶性胸膜间皮瘤(MPM)是一种罕见的恶性肿瘤,与石棉暴露有关。MPM 的潜伏期较长,这意味着在欧洲限制使用石棉后,其发病率仍在持续上升。为了更清楚地了解爱尔兰共和国(ROI)的趋势,根据爱尔兰国家癌症登记处(NCR)成立以来报告的所有 MPM 病例,评估了发病率和生存率。
方法:NCR 在 1994-2009 年期间记录了 ROI 中 337 例 MPM 诊断。对所有有足够随访的病例(n=330)进行了生存评估。计算了所有病例和 4 年期间的粗发病率和欧洲年龄标准化发病率。使用观察(全因)生存的 Cox 模型,为以下因素生成危害比:性别;诊断时的年龄;诊断队列;居住地区;组织学类型;和肿瘤分期。使用分层对数秩检验或分层趋势检验对指示变量的单个 P 值进行计算。
结果:在研究期间,ROI 的年龄标准化 MPM 发病率从 4.98 例/百万(cpm)上升至 7.24cpm。所有 MPM 病例的 1 年生存率为 29.6%(CI 24.7-34.6%)。年龄是与诊断时的死亡率风险增加相关(75-89 岁 vs. 55-64 岁,HR 1.88,95%CI 1.35-2.63,P<0.001)和肿瘤分期(III 期 vs. I 期 HR 1.57,95%CI 1.00-2.48,P<0.05;IV 期 vs. I 期 HR 1.55,95%CI 1.08-2.21,P<0.05)。年龄呈现显著的生存趋势(P<0.001),但肿瘤分期没有(P=0.150)。不同地区居民的生存率存在显著差异(P=0.027)。
结论:在限制使用石棉后,ROI 的 MPM 发病率和死亡率仍在持续上升,本研究中发现的生存预测因素与其他国家基本一致。
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