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父母年龄与自闭症谱系障碍风险:基于瑞典人群队列的研究结果

Parental age and the risk of autism spectrum disorders: findings from a Swedish population-based cohort.

作者信息

Idring Selma, Magnusson Cecilia, Lundberg Michael, Ek Mats, Rai Dheeraj, Svensson Anna C, Dalman Christina, Karlsson Håkan, Lee Brian K

机构信息

Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden, Neurodevelopmental Psychiatry Unit, Child and Youth Psychiatry, Stockholm County Council, Sweden, Centre for Epidemiology and Community Medicine, Stockholm County Council, Sweden, Huddinge Psychosis Outpatient Unit, Stockholm, Sweden, Academic Unit of Psychiatry, School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK, Avon and Wiltshire Partnership NHS Mental Health Trust, Bristol, UK, Department of Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Drexel University School of Public Health, Philadelphia, PA, USA and A.J. Drexel Autism Institute, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

出版信息

Int J Epidemiol. 2014 Feb;43(1):107-15. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyt262. Epub 2014 Jan 9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The objectives of this study were to examine the independent and dependent associations of maternal and paternal age and risk of offspring autism spectrum disorders (ASD), with and without intellectual disability (ID).

METHODS

The sample consisted of 417 303 Swedish children born 1984-2003. ASD case status (N = 4746) was ascertained using national and regional registers. Smoothing splines in generalized additive models were used to estimate associations of parental age with ASD.

RESULTS

Whereas advancing parental age increased the risk of child ASD, maternal age effects were non-linear and paternal age effects were linear. Compared with mothers at the median age 29 years, those <29 had similar risk, whereas risk increased after age 30, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.75 [95% (CI): 1.63-1.89] at ages 40-45. For fathers, compared with the median age of 32 years, the OR for ages 55-59 was 1.39 (1.29-1.50). The risk of ASD was greater for older mothers as compared with older fathers. For example, mothers aged 40-45 (≥97.2th percentile) had an estimated 18.63 (95% CI: 17.25-20.01) ASD cases per 1000 births, whereas fathers aged 55-59 (≥99.7th percentile) had 16.35 (95% CI: 15.11-17.58) ASD cases per 1000 births. In analyses stratified by co-parental age, increased risk due to advancing paternal age was evident only with mothers ≤35 years. In contrast, advancing maternal age increased risk regardless of paternal age. Advancing parental age was more strongly associated with ASD with ID, compared with ASD without ID.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm prior findings that advancing parental age increases risk of ASD, particularly for ASD with ID, in a manner dependent on co-parental age. Although recent attention has emphasized the effects of older fathers on ASD risk, an increase of n years in maternal age has greater implications for ASD risk than a similar increase in paternal age.

摘要

背景

本研究的目的是检验父母年龄与后代自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)风险之间的独立和相关关联,包括有无智力障碍(ID)的情况。

方法

样本包括1984年至2003年出生的417303名瑞典儿童。ASD病例状态(N = 4746)通过国家和地区登记册确定。使用广义相加模型中的平滑样条来估计父母年龄与ASD之间的关联。

结果

父母年龄增长会增加孩子患ASD的风险,母亲年龄的影响是非线性的,而父亲年龄的影响是线性的。与年龄中位数为29岁的母亲相比,年龄小于29岁的母亲风险相似,而30岁以后风险增加,40至45岁时的优势比(OR)为1.75 [95%(CI):1.63 - 1.89]。对于父亲,与年龄中位数32岁相比,55至59岁时的OR为1.39(1.29 - 1.50)。年龄较大的母亲患ASD的风险高于年龄较大的父亲。例如,40至45岁(≥第97.2百分位数)的母亲每1000例出生中有18.63例(95% CI:17.25 - 20.01)ASD病例,而55至59岁(≥第99.7百分位数)的父亲每1000例出生中有16.35例(95% CI:15.11 - 17.58)ASD病例。在按父母年龄分层的分析中,仅在母亲年龄≤35岁时,父亲年龄增长导致的风险增加才明显。相比之下,无论父亲年龄如何,母亲年龄增长都会增加风险。与无ID的ASD相比,父母年龄增长与有ID的ASD关联更强。

结论

我们证实了先前的研究结果,即父母年龄增长会增加ASD的风险,特别是对于有ID的ASD,其风险增加方式取决于父母年龄。尽管最近的关注强调了年龄较大的父亲对ASD风险的影响,但母亲年龄增加n岁对ASD风险的影响比父亲年龄类似增加的影响更大。

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