Hollenberg J P, Subak L L, Ferry J J, Bussel J B
Department of Medicine, New York Hospital, NY 10021.
J Pediatr. 1988 Apr;112(4):530-9. doi: 10.1016/s0022-3476(88)80163-x.
Infusions of intravenous gamma-globulin (IVGG) are an effective, nontoxic therapy for chronic idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) that would be more widely accepted if the therapeutic agent were not so expensive. The costs and outcomes of managing such children with splenectomy and IVGG were modeled with Markov processes. Children unresponsive to one treatment were considered to have received the alternative. The model accounted for spontaneous remissions, therapeutic responses, traumatic events, episodes of sepsis, and operative deaths. For a 10-year-old child with chronic ITP, the strategy of initial treatment with splenectomy had associated costs of $17,000 and a 97.9% ten-year survival rate, whereas the strategy of initial treatment with IVGG had associated costs of $21,000 but a 98.6% survival rate. Each additional life saved by employing the IVGG strategy cost $540,000, or $8,000 per year for a life expectancy of 70 years. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that for older children the IVGG strategy continued to result in improved survival rates but was more costly than the splenectomy strategy. For younger children, the IVGG strategy dominated, with improved survival rates and lower costs.
静脉注射丙种球蛋白(IVGG)输注是治疗慢性特发性血小板减少性紫癜(ITP)的一种有效且无毒的疗法,若这种治疗药物不是如此昂贵,它会被更广泛地接受。采用马尔可夫过程对采用脾切除术和IVGG治疗此类儿童的成本及结果进行了建模。对一种治疗无反应的儿童被视为接受了另一种治疗。该模型考虑了自发缓解、治疗反应、创伤事件、败血症发作及手术死亡情况。对于一名10岁的慢性ITP儿童,初始治疗采用脾切除术的策略相关成本为17,000美元,十年生存率为97.9%,而初始治疗采用IVGG的策略相关成本为21,000美元,但生存率为98.6%。采用IVGG策略每多挽救一条生命的成本为540,000美元,若预期寿命为70岁,则每年成本为8,000美元。敏感性分析表明,对于年龄较大的儿童,IVGG策略继续导致生存率提高,但比脾切除术策略成本更高。对于年龄较小的儿童,IVGG策略占主导,生存率提高且成本更低。