Barry M J, Mulley A G, Fowler F J, Wennberg J W
General Internal Medicine Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston 02114.
JAMA. 1988 May 27;259(20):3010-7.
The rate of resection for benign prostatic hypertrophy shows considerable variability among small geographic areas. To help inform the decision to recommend prostatectomy to men with prostatism without signs of chronic retention, we performed a decision analysis to compare the expected outcomes with immediate transurethral resection and watchful waiting. Data used in the model originated from the medical literature, Medicare claims data, and patient interview studies. In our base-case analysis for 70-year-old men, immediate surgery resulted in the loss of 1.01 months of life expectancy, but when adjustments were made for quality of life, immediate surgery was favored with a net utility benefit of 2.94 quality-adjusted life-months. However, the analysis was particularly sensitive to the degree of disutility attributed to the index symptoms of prostatism. We conclude that patient preferences should be the dominant factor in the decision whether to recommend prostatectomy.
良性前列腺增生的切除率在小地理区域间存在显著差异。为了帮助为无慢性尿潴留迹象的前列腺增生男性患者推荐前列腺切除术提供决策依据,我们进行了一项决策分析,以比较立即经尿道切除术和观察等待的预期结果。模型中使用的数据来源于医学文献、医疗保险理赔数据和患者访谈研究。在我们针对70岁男性的基础案例分析中,立即手术导致预期寿命损失1.01个月,但在对生活质量进行调整后,立即手术更具优势,净效用收益为2.94个质量调整生命月。然而,该分析对归因于前列腺增生指标症状的负效用程度特别敏感。我们得出结论,患者的偏好应是决定是否推荐前列腺切除术的主导因素。