Tong Liyue, Ahn Chul, Symanski Elaine, Lai Dejian, Du Xianglin L
Division of Epidemiology, Human Genetics, and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, TX; Department of Clinical Sciences, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX.
Department of Clinical Sciences, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX; Harold C. Simmons Cancer Center, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX.
Ann Epidemiol. 2014 Jun;24(6):411-7. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2014.01.005. Epub 2014 Jan 18.
To assess the distribution of proportion of deaths from causes other than colorectal cancer (CRC) over time and temporal trends of cause-specific cumulative incidence of death due to six leading causes in patients with CRC.
Overall, 375,462 patients with CRC in nine Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries from 1975 to 2009 were included. Competing risks proportional hazards regression was used to examine the effect of diagnostic periods on the risk of cause-specific death.
From 1975 to 2009 by 5-year interval, the proportion of deaths from causes other than CRC increased significantly with diagnostic periods according to the lengths of follow-up (P < .0001). The 5-year risk of death significantly decreased with diagnostic periods for all-cause, CRC, and circulation diseases among all age groups (<65, 65-74, and ≥75 years) but increased for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, and Alzheimer disease among patients aged 65 years or older.
Deaths due to causes other than CRC increased significantly over time regardless of tumor stage and site but more sharply in those with early-stage and distal colon cancer. The increasing leading causes of death are chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, and Alzheimer disease, which may be prevented or delayed substantially by modification or intervention in lifestyle or other factors.
评估结直肠癌(CRC)以外其他原因导致的死亡比例随时间的分布情况,以及CRC患者六种主要死因的特定病因累积死亡率的时间趋势。
总共纳入了1975年至2009年九个监测、流行病学和最终结果登记处的375462例CRC患者。采用竞争风险比例风险回归分析来检验诊断时期对特定病因死亡风险的影响。
从1975年到2009年,按5年间隔划分,根据随访时长,CRC以外其他原因导致的死亡比例随诊断时期显著增加(P <.0001)。在所有年龄组(<65岁、65 - 74岁和≥75岁)中,全因、CRC和循环系统疾病的5年死亡风险随诊断时期显著降低,但65岁及以上患者中慢性阻塞性肺疾病、糖尿病和阿尔茨海默病的死亡风险增加。
无论肿瘤分期和部位如何,CRC以外其他原因导致的死亡随时间显著增加,但早期和远端结肠癌患者增加更为明显。日益增加的主要死亡原因是慢性阻塞性肺疾病、糖尿病和阿尔茨海默病,通过改变生活方式或其他因素进行调整或干预,这些死亡原因可能会得到大幅预防或延缓。