Canudas-Romo Vladimir, Liu Li, Zimmerman Linnea, Ahmed Saifuddin, Tsui Amy
Max Planck Odense Center, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark ; Department of Population, Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2014 Feb 13;9(2):e86694. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086694. eCollection 2014.
We assessed the change over time in the contribution of maternal mortality to a life expectancy calculated between ages 15 and 49, or Reproductive-Aged Life Expectancy (RALE). Our goal was to estimate the increase in RALE in developed countries over the twentieth century and the hypothetical gains in African countries today by eliminating maternal mortality.
Analogous to life expectancy, RALE is calculated from a life table of ages 15 to 49. Specifically, RALE is the average number of years that women at age 15 would be expected to live between 15 and 49 with current mortality rates. Associated single decrement life tables of causes of death other than maternal mortality are explored to assess the possible gains in RALE by reducing or eliminating maternal mortality. We used population-based data from the Human Mortality Database and the Demographic and Health Surveys.
In developed countries, five years in RALE were gained over the twentieth century, of which approximately 10%, or half a year, was attributable to reductions in maternal mortality. In sub-Saharan African countries, the possible achievable gains fluctuate between 0.24 and 1.47 years, or 6% and 44% of potential gains in RALE.
Maternal mortality is a rare event, yet it is still a very important component of RALE. Averting the burden of maternal deaths could return a significant increase in the most productive ages of human life.
我们评估了孕产妇死亡率对15至49岁预期寿命(即生育年龄预期寿命,RALE)的贡献随时间的变化。我们的目标是估计发达国家在20世纪RALE的增长情况,以及当今非洲国家通过消除孕产妇死亡可能获得的预期寿命增长。
与预期寿命类似,RALE是根据15至49岁的生命表计算得出的。具体而言,RALE是15岁女性按照当前死亡率预期在15至49岁之间存活的平均年数。我们研究了除孕产妇死亡以外其他死因的相关单减生命表,以评估通过降低或消除孕产妇死亡可能带来的RALE增长。我们使用了来自人类死亡率数据库和人口与健康调查的基于人群的数据。
在发达国家,20世纪RALE增加了5年,其中约10%(即半年)可归因于孕产妇死亡率的降低。在撒哈拉以南非洲国家,可能实现的增长在0.24至1.47年之间波动,占RALE潜在增长的6%至44%。
孕产妇死亡虽然是罕见事件,但仍是RALE的一个非常重要的组成部分。避免孕产妇死亡负担能够使人类生命中最具生产力的年龄段的预期寿命显著增加。