Porter Michelle M, Smith Glenys A, Cull Andrew W, Myers Anita M, Bédard Michel, Gélinas Isabelle, Mazer Barbara L, Marshall Shawn C, Naglie Gary, Rapoport Mark J, Tuokko Holly A, Vrkljan Brenda H
a Health, Leisure and Human Performance Research Institute, Faculty of Kinesiology and Recreation Management , University of Manitoba , Winnipeg , Manitoba , Canada.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2015;16(1):24-7. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2014.894995. Epub 2014 Sep 26.
Most studies on older adults' driving practices have relied on self-reported information. With technological advances it is now possible to objectively measure the everyday driving of older adults in their own vehicles over time. The purpose of this study was to examine the ability of older drivers to accurately estimate their kilometers driven over one year relative to objectively measured driving exposure.
A subsample (n = 159 of 928; 50.9% male) of Candrive II participants (age ≥ 70 years of age) was used in these analyses based on strict criteria for data collected from questionnaires as well as an OttoView-CD Autonomous Data Logging Device installed in their vehicle, over the first year of the prospective cohort study.
Although there was no significant difference overall between the self-reported and objectively measured distance categories, only moderate agreement was found (weighted kappa = 0.57; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.67). Almost half (45.3%) chose the wrong distance category, and some people misestimated their distance driven by up to 20,000 km. Those who misjudged in the low mileage group (≤5000 km) consistently underestimated, whereas the reverse was found for those in the high distance categories (≥ 20,000); that is, they always overestimated their driving distance.
Although self-reported driving distance categories may be adequate for studies entailing broad group comparisons, caution should be used in interpreting results. Use of self-reported estimates for individual assessments should be discouraged.
大多数关于老年人驾驶行为的研究都依赖自我报告信息。随着技术进步,现在有可能客观地测量老年人在自己车辆中的日常驾驶情况。本研究的目的是检验老年驾驶员相对于客观测量的驾驶暴露情况,准确估计其一年行驶公里数的能力。
在这项前瞻性队列研究的第一年,根据从问卷收集的数据以及安装在其车辆中的奥托视图-CD自动数据记录设备的严格标准,对Candrive II参与者(年龄≥700岁)的一个子样本(928人中的159人;男性占50.9%)进行了这些分析。
虽然自我报告的距离类别与客观测量的距离类别总体上没有显著差异,但仅发现中等程度的一致性(加权kappa = 0.57;95%置信区间,0.47 - 0.67)。几乎一半(45.3%)的人选择了错误的距离类别,有些人对自己行驶距离估计错误高达20000公里。在低里程组(≤5000公里)中判断错误的人一直低估,而在高距离类别(≥20000公里)中的人则相反,即他们总是高估自己的驾驶距离。
虽然自我报告的驾驶距离类别可能足以用于需要广泛群体比较的研究,但在解释结果时应谨慎。不鼓励将自我报告的估计用于个体评估。