PhD candidate, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom.
Disasters. 2014 Apr;38(2):227-48. doi: 10.1111/disa.12055.
By the start of 2014, violent conflict had erupted across much of South Sudan following initial violence in Juba on 15 December 2013. The speed with which the fighting has spread raises questions regarding the impact of national-level politics on violence at the local level. This article develops a framework in which violent conflict can be comprehended as a response to the interruption of the negotiation of the balance of power between groups; the negotiation is interrupted when that balance tips in favour of one group, such as through changes in the national political market or government reforms. The article provides two cases studies of attempts to strengthen the state that inadvertently interrupted local power relations between groups. In response, the groups engaged in violent conflict to reinstate a balance of power. Both examples involve conflict among Dinka groups from 2005 to 2008.
到 2014 年初，2013 年 12 月 15 日朱巴最初发生暴力事件之后，南苏丹大部分地区爆发了暴力冲突。战斗蔓延的速度让人质疑国家层面的政治对地方一级暴力的影响。本文提出了一个框架，根据该框架，暴力冲突可以被理解为对群体之间权力平衡的谈判中断的一种反应；当这种平衡因国家政治市场的变化或政府改革等因素而倾向于一个群体时，谈判就会中断。本文提供了两个试图加强国家力量的案例研究，这些尝试无意中中断了群体之间的地方权力关系。作为回应，这些群体进行了暴力冲突，以恢复权力平衡。这两个例子都涉及 2005 年至 2008 年期间丁卡族群体之间的冲突。
