University of Groningen & NETSPAR, The Netherlands.
University of Groningen & NETSPAR, The Netherlands.
Soc Sci Med. 2014 May;109:35-43. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2014.03.014. Epub 2014 Mar 19.
We analyze the relationship between the state of the business cycle at birth and childhood health. We use a retrospective survey on self-reported childhood health for ten Western European countries and combine it with historically and internationally comparable data on the Gross Domestic Product. We validate the self-reported data by comparing them to realized illness spells. We find a positive relationship between being born in a recession and childhood health. This relationship is not driven by selection effects due to heightened infant mortality during recessions. Placebo regressions indicate that the observed effect is not spurious.
我们分析了出生时商业周期的状态与儿童健康之间的关系。我们使用了针对十个西欧国家的自我报告的儿童健康状况的回顾性调查,并将其与历史上和国际上可比的国内生产总值数据相结合。我们通过将自我报告的数据与实际的疾病发作进行比较来验证这些数据。我们发现,出生在经济衰退期与儿童健康之间存在正相关关系。这种关系不是由于经济衰退期间婴儿死亡率升高而导致的选择效应所驱动的。安慰剂回归表明,观察到的效应不是虚假的。