Zhukovsky Michael, Demin Vladimir, Yarmoshenko Ilia
Institute of Industrial Ecology UB RAS, Sophy Kovalevskoy st., 20, Ekaterinburg 620990, Russia
NRC 'Kurchatov Institute', Moscow, Russia.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry. 2014 Jul;160(1-3):134-7. doi: 10.1093/rpd/ncu070. Epub 2014 Apr 9.
The combined modified model of risk assessment from an indoor radon exposure is proposed. Multiplicative dependence on fatal lung cancer is used. The model has been developed on the basis of the modern health risk theory and the results of epidemiological studies with the special attention to the results of the European combined study and the WISMUT miners cohort study. The model is presented as an age-specific relative risk coefficient for a single (short-term) exposure. The risk coefficient for an extended exposure can be obtained from this risk coefficient in the accordance with the risk theory. The smoothed dependences of the risk coefficients on time since exposure and attained age and radon progeny concentration are suggested.
提出了室内氡暴露风险评估的综合改进模型。采用了对致命性肺癌的乘法依赖性。该模型是在现代健康风险理论和流行病学研究结果的基础上开发的,特别关注欧洲联合研究和WISMUT矿工队列研究的结果。该模型以单次(短期)暴露的年龄特异性相对风险系数表示。根据风险理论,可从该风险系数获得长期暴露的风险系数。文中给出了风险系数与暴露后时间、达到的年龄以及氡子体浓度之间的平滑依赖性。