CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship and CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, Melbourne, Australia.
CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship and CSIRO Ecosystem Sciences, Melbourne, Australia.
Environ Pollut. 2014 Sep;192:275-84. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2014.05.002. Epub 2014 May 23.
The potential benefit of urban vegetation in reducing heat related mortality in the city of Melbourne, Australia is investigated using a two-scale modelling approach. A meso-scale urban climate model was used to quantify the effects of ten urban vegetation schemes on the current climate in 2009 and future climates in 2030 and 2050. The indoor thermal performance of five residential buildings was then simulated using a building simulation tool with the local meso-climates associated with various urban vegetation schemes. Simulation results suggest that average seasonal summer temperatures can be reduced in the range of around 0.5 and 2 °C if the city were replaced by vegetated suburbs and parklands, respectively. With the limited buildings and local meso-climates investigated in this study, around 5-28% and 37-99% reduction in heat related mortality rate have been estimated by doubling the city's vegetation coverage and transforming the city into parklands respectively.
采用两尺度建模方法研究了城市植被对降低澳大利亚墨尔本热相关死亡率的潜在益处。利用中尺度城市气候模型来量化十种城市植被方案对 2009 年当前气候和 2030 年及 2050 年未来气候的影响。然后,使用建筑模拟工具对五座住宅建筑的室内热性能进行了模拟,该工具采用了与各种城市植被方案相关的局部中尺度气候。模拟结果表明,如果城市被植被覆盖的郊区和公园所取代,夏季平均季节温度可分别降低约 0.5 至 2°C。在本研究中,仅考虑了有限的建筑物和局部中尺度气候,如果将城市的植被覆盖率增加一倍并将城市转变为公园,那么热相关死亡率的降低幅度估计在 5%至 28%和 37%至 99%之间。