Fu Zhi-ying, Zhu Jun, Song Yu-qin, Liu Wei-ping, Ji Xin-qiang, Zhan Si-yan
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Peking University School of Public Health, Beijing, 100191, China.
Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education), Department of Lymphoma, Peking University Cancer Hospital & Institute, Beijing 100142, China.
Beijing Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban. 2014 Jun 18;46(3):405-11.
To describe the clinical characteristics, overall survival as well as to evaluate the prognostic factors in Chinese diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients.
DLBCL patients who were initially diagnosed and treated in Peking University Cancer Hospital from January 1995 to December 2008 were identified and analyzed,retrospectively.The 5-year OS rates were estimated with Kaplan-Meier. Log-rank test was used to compare the survival curves of the different groups. The multivariate analysis of prognostic factors was conducted with Cox regression model, which included all statistically significant prognostic factors in the univariate analyses.
A total of 525 DLBCL patients were included in this retrospective analysis, of whom, 294 were male and 231 female (male:female=1.27:1). The median age at the initial diagnosis was 55 (range 16-90) years, and 37.0% (n=194) were 60 years and above. Regarding the clinical staging at the initial diagnosis, 54 patients (10.3%) were diagnosed as Stage I of the disease, 152 (28.9%) as Stage II, 117 (22.3%) as Stage III and 202 (38.5%) as Stage IV. The "B symptoms" and increased serum LDH were presented in 206 (39.2%) and 192 (36.6%) patients, respectively. A total of 197 (37.5%) patients were treated with rituximab (R). The survival follow-up continued till 31 January 2014 with a median follow-up time of 77.5 (range: 0-205) months. A total of 267 patients (50.9%) died during the follow-up period. The medial overall survival (OS) time was 84 months, and 5-year OS rate was 52.3%. There were six statistically significant prognostic factors that were identified in both univariate and multivariate analyses: gender, Ann Arbor stage, B symptom, serum LDH, age at initial diagnosis and rituximab treatment. The relative risk (RR) of these prognostic factors in the multivariate analyses were: age > 60 years / ≤ 60 years=1.380 (95%CI 1.078-1.765), male / female=1.315 (95%CI 1.025-1.687), stage III/stage I=3.034 (95%CI 1.667-5.522), stage IV/I=3.748(95%CI 2.102-6.681), with B symptoms/without B symptoms=1.278(95%CI 0.999-1.636), serum LDH increased/LDH not increased=1.351(95%CI 1.057-1.726), without R treatment / with R treatment=1.543 (95%CI 1.182-2.015).Compared with the IPI, age >50 years/ ≤ 50 years was a statistically significant factor in both univariate and multivariate analyses RR=1.478 (95%CI 1.148-1.902), P=0.002.
Six factors were related to DLBCL survival: gender, Ann Arbor stage, B symptom, serum LDH, age at initial diagnosis and rituximab treatment. Compared with the IPI, several specific factors may predict a poor prognosis in Chinese DLBCL patients: male, age>50 years and the presence of "B symptoms". But this result is not conclusive until these factors are further tested.
描述中国弥漫性大B细胞淋巴瘤(DLBCL)患者的临床特征、总生存期,并评估预后因素。
回顾性分析1995年1月至2008年12月在北京大学肿瘤医院初诊并接受治疗的DLBCL患者。采用Kaplan-Meier法估计5年总生存率。用对数秩检验比较不同组的生存曲线。采用Cox回归模型对预后因素进行多因素分析,模型纳入单因素分析中所有具有统计学意义的预后因素。
本回顾性分析共纳入525例DLBCL患者,其中男性294例,女性231例(男∶女 = 1.27∶1)。初诊时的中位年龄为55岁(范围16 - 90岁),37.0%(n = 194)的患者年龄在60岁及以上。初诊时的临床分期方面,54例(10.3%)患者诊断为疾病Ⅰ期,152例(28.9%)为Ⅱ期,117例(22.3%)为Ⅲ期,202例(38.5%)为Ⅳ期。分别有206例(39.2%)和192例(36.6%)患者出现“B症状”和血清乳酸脱氢酶升高。共有197例(37.5%)患者接受了利妥昔单抗(R)治疗。生存随访持续至2014年1月31日,中位随访时间为77.5个月(范围:0 - 205个月)。随访期间共有267例(50.9%)患者死亡。中位总生存(OS)时间为84个月,5年OS率为52.3%。单因素和多因素分析均确定了6个具有统计学意义的预后因素:性别、Ann Arbor分期、B症状、血清乳酸脱氢酶、初诊年龄和利妥昔单抗治疗。这些预后因素在多因素分析中的相对危险度(RR)分别为:年龄>60岁/≤60岁 = 1.380(95%CI 1.078 - 1.765),男性/女性 = 1.315(95%CI 1.025 - 1.687),Ⅲ期/Ⅰ期 = 3.034(95%CI 1.667 - 5.522),Ⅳ期/Ⅰ期 = 3.748(95%CI 2.102 - 6.681),有B症状/无B症状 = 1.278(95%CI 0.999 - 1.636),血清乳酸脱氢酶升高/未升高 = 1.351(95%CI 1.057 - 1.726),未接受R治疗/接受R治疗 = 1.543(95%CI 1.182 - 2.015)。与国际预后指数(IPI)相比,年龄>50岁/≤50岁在单因素和多因素分析中均为具有统计学意义的因素,RR = 1.478(95%CI 1.148 - 1.902),P = 0.002。
六个因素与DLBCL生存相关:性别、Ann Arbor分期、B症状、血清乳酸脱氢酶、初诊年龄和利妥昔单抗治疗。与IPI相比,几个特定因素可能预示中国DLBCL患者预后不良:男性、年龄>50岁和存在“B症状”。但在这些因素得到进一步验证之前,该结果尚无定论。